By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Extraordinarily affected person readers, I’m afraid brunch bought totally uncontrolled. So that is fairly skeletal, though I’ll add in as a lot as I can, as quick as I can! Within the meantime, speak amongst yourselves! –lambert

Chook Track of the Day

Blue Mockingbird, alongside the canal, Oaxaca, MX (17,2, -96,751), Etla, Oaxaca, Mexico.

In Case You Would possibly Miss…

1. Boeing and Longshoremen strikes.
2. UCLA instruments up.

Politics

“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in reality a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

Trump Assassination Makes an attempt (Plural)

Lower than forty days to go!

Friday’s RCP Ballot Averages:

This week’s crop of flag-of-convenience Democrat celebrities and generals didn’t flip the tide both. Regardless of the micturition and lamentation (very a lot together with my very own) concerning the Trump marketing campaign dogging it when the election is theirs to win (see Gallup, “2024 Election Atmosphere Favorable to GOP” on the problems) do notice the regular deterioration in Kamala’s place within the (aggregated) high battlegrounds. (After all, we on the skin may as nicely be inspecting the entrails of birds after we attempt to predict what is going to occur to a subset of voters (undecided; irregular) in a subset of states (swing), and the irregulars particularly may as nicely be quantum foam, however presumably the marketing campaign professionals have higher knowledge, and have the scenario as below management as it may be _{MR SUBLIMINAL Fooled ya. Kidding!}.

* * *

Kamala (D): “Opinion: Vance is correct. Harris and Walz are a risk to People’ free speech” [Jonathan Turley, USA Today]. On “fireplace in a croweded theatre: “[Walz] cited a case by which socialists Charles Schenck and Elizabeth Baer had been arrested and convicted of violating the Espionage Act of 1917. Their ‘crime’ was to cross out flyers in opposition to the army draft throughout World Struggle I. Schenck and Baer referred to as on their fellow residents to not ‘undergo intimidation’ and to ‘assert your rights.’ They argued, ‘If you don’t assert and help your rights, you’re serving to to disclaim or disparage rights which it’s the solemn responsibility of all residents and residents of america to retain.’ Additionally they described the army draft as ‘involuntary servitude.’ Holmes used his ‘fireplace in a theater’; line to justify the abusive conviction and incarceration. On the Home listening to, after I was making an attempt to elucidate that the justice later walked away from the road and Schenck was successfully overturned in 1969 in Brandenburg v. Ohio, [Rep. Dan Goldman, D-N.Y.] lower me off and stated, ‘We don’t want a regulation class right here.’ Within the vice presidential debate, Walz confirmed that he and different Democratic leaders most actually do want a category in First Modification regulation.”

* * *

Trump (R): “Trump calls Jack Smith submitting ‘pure election interference’ ” [NewsNation]. “Former President Donald Trump referred to as the unsealing of paperwork in his election interference case by particular counsel Jack Smith a “weaponization of the federal government” throughout an unique interview with NewsNation on Wednesday in Houston, Texas. The Republican nominee was at a personal fundraiser when he informed NewsNation’s Ali Bradley that Smith is a ‘deranged particular person’ following the dismissal of his separate categorized paperwork case in July. ‘This was a weaponization of the federal government … and launched 30 days earlier than the election,’ Trump stated of Wednesday’s developments. ‘My ballot numbers have gone up as an alternative of down. It’s pure election interference.’ The interview got here after prosecutors, in a court docket submitting unsealed Wednesday, stated Trump “resorted to crimes” after shedding the 2020 election by disregarding the recommendation of his vice chairman and different aides.”

Realignment and Legitimacy

Syndemics

“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Basic Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the tackle given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (wastewater); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep protected on the market!

TABLE 1: Every day Covid Charts

Employment Scenario: “United States Preliminary Jobless Claims” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of individuals claiming unemployment advantages within the US rose by 6,000 from the earlier week to 225,000 on the interval ending September twenty eighth, surpassing market expectations of 220,000 to mark a brand new three-week excessive. The rise in claims stored preliminary counts above the averages recorded earlier this yr, reinforcing the pattern of a softening labor market and supporting predictions that the Federal Reserve will implement charge cuts in every remaining choice this yr.”

Employment SItuation: “United States Challenger Job Cuts” [Trading Economics]. “US employers introduced 72,821 job cuts in September 2024, barely down from 75,891 in August, however 53% larger than 47,457 a yr earlier. Know-how introduced probably the most job cuts….”

Manufacturing: “United States Manufacturing unit Orders” [Trading Economics]. “New orders for US manufactured items eased by 0.2% from the earlier month to $590.4 billion in August of 2024, trimming the downwardly revised 4.9% leap within the earlier month, and lacking forecasts that it might have remained unchanged.”

“Everybody Is Getting the Dockworkers Strike All Fallacious” [Salon]. “Sure, it’s a narrative about modern-day labor anxieties and union leverage—nevertheless it’s additionally about one thing much more complicated than your typical workers-vs.-bosses toss-up…. However the dockworkers of in the present day must be expert, educated, and dexterous sufficient to make sure that the incoming freight vehicles, the hefty tools, the doubtless hazardous cargo, and the boats themselves function safely and easily all through all steps of the method… That premium on talent and labor, added to the union’s historic power, makes these dockworkers ‘the highest-paid blue-collar staff within the nation,’ because the American Prospect notes… The principle sticking level, nonetheless, is displacement. The enterprise pursuits answerable for the ports wish to embed extra self-propelling expertise inside dock work, whether or not that constitutes automated vehicles, gates, or cranes. This pattern has taken off at dozens of ports internationally. Nonetheless, a number of research and real-world examples have proven that full or semi-automation doesn’t truly do a lot to cut back prices or improve effectivity on the docks, though in sure functions, it will possibly assist to make sure human security. And therein lies one other main battle about tech on the docks: The Maritime Alliance is keen on leaving some leeway for automation, however the dockworkers need completely none. The work could also be grueling, nevertheless it’s among the many few organized blue-collar professions that may provide its workers a strong life-style and dignity.”

Manufacturing: “Boeing Jet Catches Fireplace Earlier than Takeoff, Prompting Airport Closure” [Men’s Journal]. “Virtually 200 vacationers had been evacuated from a Boeing jet as partitions of flames spewed from one of many engines, video shared to X (previously Twitter) exhibits. The incident occurred early on Wednesday morning at Italy’s Brindisi Airport shortly earlier than a Boeing 737 operated by Ryanair was scheduled to take off. Smoke stuffed the cabin as crews shortly responded and evacuated the jet, however not earlier than one passenger captured footage of the flames licking the aircraft’s window.” • Whoops. (Reuters mentions “fumes.”)

Manufacturing: “Boeing’s Frail Funds Give Strikers All of the Energy” [Bloomberg]. “The corporate is in a dire monetary place, burning by way of billions of {dollars} of money and teetering on the edge of getting its credit standing lower to junk. The corporate has floated the thought of elevating $10 billion or extra by promoting shares, which wouldn’t occur till the strike is resolved. The roughly 33,000 machinists on strike know this. Time is on their aspect. … Boeing wants to achieve a take care of its placing staff and crank up plane manufacturing. The backlog of plane orders is piling up. That is money and monetary reduction simply ready to be unlocked. Little doubt a hefty pay increase will squeeze future revenue margins, nevertheless it’s unlikely the corporate, being in resembling weakened state, can outlast the dedication of its staff…. It’s time for brand new Chief Govt Officer Kelly Ortberg to settle this strike and start to restore labor relations. With out buy-in from its workforce, the corporate can’t start to alter a factory-floor tradition that had eroded on security and high quality to the purpose the place the Federal Aviation Administration needed to intervene.”

At the moment’s Worry & Greed Index: 67 Greed (earlier shut: 68 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 68 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Oct 3 at 1:53:13 PM ET.

Zeitgeist Watch

Gallery

For Alma-Tadema stans, thread value studying in full:

Groves of Academe

“College students and college object to UCLA’s buy of extra army {hardware}” [Los Angeles Public Press]. “The College of California Regents accredited the acquisition of army tools at September’s UC Regents assembly at UCLA. The unanimous vote befell behind closed doorways whereas the UCLA Police Division (UCPD), wearing riot gear, compelled those that got here to present public remark outdoors of the constructing. The accredited purchases embrace 3,000 rounds of pepper munitions, 500 rounds of 40mm influence munitions, 12 drones, and 9 less-lethal launchers throughout six College of California campuses.” • Oh.

Information of the Wired

Make that holder coin-operated, and also you’ve bought a rentier’s cup.

Contact info for vegetation: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a verify if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photographs of vegetation. Greens are effective! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you’d like your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it initially of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From TH:

TH writes: “That is a type of that may drive you loopy. Vertical traces are right and even the horizontal railing is nice, however the breakwater simply above it offers an phantasm of off-kilterness (phrase?).” Readers?

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