By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Affected person readers, I had a Twitter debacle, and so it is a little bit mild. Extra quickly. –lambert UPDATE All achieved!
Chook Tune of the Day
Northern Mockingbird, Massive Bend NP–Chisos Basin Campground, Brewster, Texas, United States. “Singing lustily earlier than first mild.” Certainly! This spectrogram exhibits the virtuosity very clearly (not all do).
In Case You May Miss…
- Trump transition: Biden assembly, Gabbard, Gaetz.
- Deploy the Blame Cannons! Democrat suicide?
- Boeing layoffs.
- “Is the Love Tune Dying?”
Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in actual fact a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
Capitol Seizure
“J6 Shocker: Cellphone corporations dispute FBI testimony on pipe bombs suspect, key lawmaker reveals” [Just the News]. “lular carriers have informed Congress they possess intact telephone utilization information from the neighborhood the place two pipe bombs have been planted through the Jan. 6 incident, straight disputing FBI testimony that brokers couldn’t determine a suspect as a result of the telephone information was corrupted, a key Home chairman tells Simply the Information. The revelations from Rep. Barry Loudermilk, R-Ga., the chairman of the Home Administration oversight subcommittee, provides new intrigue to a debate that has gripped Washington for practically 4 years: Why can’t the FBI with a lot proof and manpower determine the suspect who planted the explosive gadgets on the Democrat and Republican Social gathering headquarters hours earlier than the Capitol was breached…. The considerations concerning the unsolved Jan. 6 pipe bombs have been heightened by proof Loudermilk disclosed within the final 12 months exhibiting that then-Vice President-elect Kamala Harris was taken inside 10 yards of one of many reside bombs on the morning of Jan. 6 as a result of the Secret Service didn’t do an intensive safety sweep. As well as, Loudermilk additionally offered safety digicam video footage and nonetheless images of the suspect holding a tool that lawmakers imagine was a mobile phone, additional making the telephone information a possible case-solving piece of proof.” • We additionally don’t know who arrange the well-known gallows, or why it wasn’t taken down.
Biden Administration
“Particular counsel Jack Smith stands down in Trump categorised docs case, asks court docket to halt enchantment” [New York Post]. “Particular counsel Jack Smith requested a federal appellate court docket on Wednesday to halt his enchantment in President-elect Donald Trump’s categorised paperwork case, citing the outcomes of the 2024 election. ‘Because of the election held on November 5, 2024, one of many defendants on this case, Donald J. Trump, is anticipated to be licensed as President-elect on January 6, 2025, and inaugurated on January 20, 2025,’ Smith wrote to the Atlanta-based eleventh US Circuit Courtroom of Appeals. ‘The Authorities respectfully requests that the Courtroom maintain this enchantment in abeyance — and keep the deadline for the Authorities’s reply temporary, which is at present due on November 15, 2024 — till December 2, 2024, to afford the Authorities time to evaluate this unprecedented circumstance and decide the suitable course going ahead in keeping with Division of Justice coverage,’ the federal prosecutor added.”
Trump Transition
“Trump triumphantly returns to White Home as Biden pledges ‘easy transition’” [Washington Times]. “‘I look ahead … to having a easy transition. We’ll do every thing we will to be sure you’re accommodated what you want,’ a smiling Mr. Biden stated as he congratulated a person who had relentlessly attacked his psychological capability and branded his administration as a ‘catastrophe.’ Mr. Trump additionally pledged that the transition shall be ‘as easy as it may get.’ ‘Politics is hard, and in lots of circumstances, it’s not a pleasant world, but it surely’s a pleasant world right now,’ Mr. Trump stated. They shook arms in entrance of a roaring hearth within the Oval Workplace.” • What was burning within the hearth? The Epstein tapes and a replica of The Enabling Act?
“Donald Trump reveals solely to The Put up what he and Biden spoke about at DC assembly” [New York Post]. “President-elect Donald Trump informed The Put up Wednesday that he and President Biden “each actually loved seeing one another” once they sat down for a historic post-election get-together within the Oval Workplace. ‘You realize, it’s been an extended, it’s been an extended slog,’ the 78-year-old stated throughout a telephone interview as he left Washington. ‘It’s been a whole lot of work on each side and he did an excellent job with respect to campaigning and every thing else. We actually had a extremely good assembly.’ Trump stated Biden was ‘very gracious.’ ‘We obtained to know one another once more.’”
BFFs:
Biden appears pleased.
Perhaps individuals can cease losing their vitality defending him now. pic.twitter.com/HI7groP6CC
— leahmcelrath.bsky.social (@leahmcelrath) November 13, 2024
A lot for all that “our democracy” hoo-ha, then. Additionally too “fascism.” Expensive Lord, these individuals simply activate a dime!
“Biden, Trump Die 2 Minutes Aside Holding Palms” [The Onion]. “‘Solely minutes earlier than their deaths, they requested that their hospital beds be pushed collectively—it’s like they knew what was coming,’ stated Marlene Kato, a nurse who confirmed that medical workers at Walter Reed Medical Heart, the place the 2 presidents spent their last hours collectively, have been shocked when Biden died at 8:05 p.m. and Trump adopted at 8:07. ‘They have been rivals in life, however they got here along with love in loss of life. They have been each very weak, however turned their heads to face one another and smiled. Biden stated, ‘You have been the one one who ever obtained me,’ and Trump stated, ‘I do know.’ I began tearing up proper there after which. It was simply so stunning. Then they used their last breaths to request a shared burial plot on the Trump Nationwide Golf Membership in Bedminster.’ At press time, a coroner’s report revealed that Trump had strangled Biden after which succumbed to a coronary heart assault two minutes later.”• Oh.
* * * “Donald Trump Jokes He ‘Can’t Get Rid’ of Elon Musk Amid Rising Affect” [Newsweek]. “”Elon received’t go residence. I can’t do away with him—a minimum of till I don’t like him,” Trump joked, acknowledging Musk’s rising presence in his internal circle.” And: “Throughout his week-long keep at Mar-a-Lago, Musk has bonded with the president-elect’s household, posing for images and taking part in golf, whereas additionally becoming a member of calls with international leaders, together with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. He’s additionally scheduled to satisfy Argentina’s President Javier Milei at Mar-a-Lago on Thursday. Though the president-elect has typically stated that Musk seemingly received’t tackle a full-time place attributable to his different commitments, Musk—who as soon as vowed to remain out of politics—seems to be having fun with his new position.”
* * * “Trump’s decide for high intel job has been accused of ‘traitorous’ parroting of Russian propaganda” [NBC]. • The spooks appear sad.
“Tulsi Gabbard’s Nomination Is a Nationwide-Safety Danger” [Tom Nichols, The Atlantic]. • As do By no means Trumper nationwide safety goons.
“The Curious Case of Tulsi Gabbard: Is She a Russian Asset or a Dupe?” [Jonathan V. Last, The Bulwark]. “As a result of for a decade Gabbard has seemed and behaved like a Russian asset.” • An asset? With a handler? I’ll solely imagine this if 51 intelligence officers inform me so. (Sorry to go all heuristic on this, I ought to be assessing all this on the deserves, however sheesh.)
* * * “Gaetz resigns from Congress — presumably skirting long-awaited Ethics report” [Politico]. “Dozens of GOP lawmakers indicated that management had informed them about Gaetz’s resignation earlier than Johnson made the announcement. Many have been excitedly spreading the information, glad to be rid of the architect of Kevin McCarthy’s speakership ouster. Gaetz didn’t attend the GOP’s hours-long assembly close to the Capitol on Wednesday, the place Republicans elected their management slate. Johnson stated Gaetz had resigned so abruptly as a result of he knew how lengthy it might take to fill the seat if he turns into lawyer normal…. Different GOP Home colleagues imagine his choice is definitely tied to an Ethics Committee report investigating a number of allegations together with that Gaetz engaged in intercourse with a minor, which they imagine was poised to be launched in a matter of days. Gaetz has repeatedly denied wrongdoing and has sought to assault the panel probing numerous allegations in opposition to him. If Gaetz is not a member of the Home, the report seemingly received’t be formally launched, although it might leak. One Home Republican, granted anonymity to talk candidly, tied Gaetz’s resignation to attempting to ‘stymie the ethics investigation that’s popping out in a single week.’” • It appears to have been fairly successfully stymied already, however no matter.
“Trump Nominates ‘Khanservative’ Matt Gaetz as Lawyer Basic” [Matt Stoller, BIG]. Stoller adopted anti-trust in Congress intently. Right here’s a telling anecdate about Gaetz:
At one level through the markup, at 3am or so, [Democrat David Cicilline, actually an anti-monoply ally] allowed an modification that punched a loophole in one of many payments. The modification would have let large tech corporations buy corporations for lower than $50 million in worth with out a lot scrutiny. It wasn’t a giant deal; everybody was exhausted and wished to only transfer alongside. However at that second, Gaetz chimed in and stated he opposed it. He didn’t win. However he was the one member in both get together to say he wished no loopholes, regardless of how small, for giant tech.
When the highlight is on, most individuals don’t wish to seem craven. However when the highlight just isn’t on, when it’s 3 am and the one people who find themselves paying consideration are highly effective lobbyists from organized cash, properly, that’s when somebody tells you what their priorities are. And in that case, Gaetz stated he’d combat for each inch, even when he would get no credit score, even when everybody was drained, and even when he was going to lose, and in dropping, upset a number of firms price a trillion {dollars} apiece.
The entire piece is price studying in full, on condition that Gaetz appears sound on Lina Khan, protection reform, and surveillance (and really referred to as for Snowden to be pardoned). So no marvel highly effective forces wish to take him down.
“Matt Gaetz as soon as confronted a intercourse trafficking investigation by the Justice Division he might now lead” [Associated Press]. “The federal intercourse trafficking investigation that started underneath Lawyer Basic Invoice Barr throughout Trump’s first time period targeted on allegations that Gaetz and onetime political ally Joel Greenberg paid underage women and escorts or supplied them presents in change for intercourse. Greenberg, a fellow Republican who served because the tax collector in Florida’s Seminole County, admitted as a part of a plea cope with prosecutors in 2021 that he paid girls and an underage woman to have intercourse with him and different males. The boys weren’t recognized in court docket paperwork when he pleaded responsible. Greenberg was sentenced in late 2022 to 11 years in jail. Federal investigators scrutinized a visit that Gaetz took to the Bahamas with a bunch of ladies and a physician who donated to his marketing campaign, and whether or not the ladies have been paid or acquired presents to have intercourse with the lads, in response to individuals accustomed to the matter who weren’t allowed to publicly focus on the investigation. Prosecutors additionally investigated whether or not Gaetz and his associates tried to safe authorities jobs for among the girls, and scrutinized Gaetz’s connections to the medical marijuana sector, together with whether or not his associates sought to affect laws Gaetz sponsored, the individuals have stated. Gaetz had remained underneath investigation by the Home Ethics Committee over allegations that he was a part of a scheme that led to the intercourse trafficking of a 17-year-old woman. The committee started its overview of Gaetz in April 2021, , and renewed its work shortly after Gaetz introduced that the Justice Division had ended a intercourse trafficking investigation. Over the summer season, the committee offered an uncommon public replace into its long-running investigation, saying its overview now consists of whether or not Gaetz engaged in sexual misconduct and illicit drug use, accepted improper presents and sought to impede authorities investigations of his conduct. Gaetz has categorically denied all of the allegations earlier than the committee.” • Nicely, I suippose we will anticipate a leak shortly. (One cause I apply a hermeneutic of suspicion to intercourse scandals is that lengthy, way back, an Illinois Republican obtained taken down over intercourse membership allegations in a set of mysteriously launched divorce papers, and the Democrat went on to win. I targeted my aghastitude on the scandal, however the successful Democrat was this dude named Barack Obama, who was simply one other elected on the time.)
2024 Put up Mortem
“The Democrats Dedicated Suicide This Yr” [James K. Galbraith, Project Syndicate]. ” Trump’s last tally shall be solely barely increased than his 2020 complete of 74.2 million votes. For Harris, although, we are going to see a disastrous decline from the 81.2 million votes that Joe Biden acquired, and this although the voting-eligible inhabitants has elevated by 4 million. In different phrases, Trump gained virtually no help in his four-year marketing campaign for redemption. If all of the voters have been the identical, one might even say that he merely obtained his 2020 supporters to vote for him once more. In reality, about 13 million individuals (most of them eligible voters) have died, and about 17 million have turn out to be voter-eligible, implying that Trump changed his losses about one-for-one, whereas a decline in turnout price the Democrats practically ten million votes. These numbers forged grave doubt on explanations of the consequence that target financial circumstances, and nonetheless extra on the influence of promoting and get-out-the-vote campaigns. The outcomes additionally deflate analyses based mostly on the ‘American voter.’… .” Extra: “After we’ve got dominated out the implausible, a minimum of three cheap conjectures stay. The primary considerations the circumstances of voting. In 2020, owing to the pandemic, voting was extra accessible than ever earlier than…. In 2024, some – although not all – of those expedients not existed, after already declining in 2022. It’s customary in America to make use of the construction of voting to assist decide the result: lengthy traces on the polls discourage turnout, particularly amongst working individuals with restricted time.” Sure, the distinctive competence of the fashionable political get together. Extra: “A second believable rationalization considerations voter registration. College students and low-income minority residents transfer extra continuously and often should re-register each time their tackle modifications. It’s extremely possible that this burden falls extra closely on Democrats.” And now: “The third speculation activates the long-standing divisions throughout the Democratic Social gathering…. The Clintons and Obamas are at present the de facto heads of the centrist faction, and Biden and Harris have been their appointees…. The Democratic management engineered this example and should subsequently need it. Win or lose, it stays accountable for an enormous shadow equipment: consultants, pollsters, lobbyists, fundraisers, key positions on Capitol Hill. Any concessions to new forces throughout the get together would undermine this management, whereas losses to Republicans don’t. The Democratic management would far reasonably lose an election or two – and even turn out to be a everlasting minority get together – than open the get together to individuals it can not management. The 2024 election was, subsequently, a suicide. The Democratic management was, at greatest, detached to the erosion of voting entry, negligent in retaining 2020’s new voters, and proactive in guaranteeing the abstention of what little stays of its ‘left’ wing. It tried to cowl this up, as traditional, with celeb endorsements and id politics. As traditional, it didn’t work. However the get together’s mandarins and their apparatchiks shall be round subsequent time to strive once more.” • I might quarrel with causality (“financial circumstances” is definitely a bit of slippery), however this conforms in virtually each respect to my priors (besides one ought to hardly depart the spooks, the press, and the NGOs out of the “huge shadow equipment”). So I prefer it 🙂
“Trump’s Win Leaves Democrats Asking: The place Are Our Bro Whisperers?” [New York Times]. “[S]ome youthful Democrats stated a broader technique shift was so as, particularly by way of how politicians strategy nontraditional media. Superstar appearances and paid endorsements from influencers come throughout as transactional and inauthentic, they stated. ‘It’s last-second, ‘Let’s get Beyoncé onstage to say we help girls,’ however that doesn’t transfer anybody who wasn’t already going to vote Democrat,’ stated Ayem Kpenkaan, a liberal content material creator who goes by @bocxtop on social media. As Democrats have been casting about for explanations for Mr. Trump’s victory, posts by Mr. Kpenkaan, 25, blaming ‘alpha male podcasts’ for males’s rightward shift went viral. He steered that Democrats wanted liberal variations of media platforms which can be culturally right-leaning however not inherently political — like Barstool Sports activities, the favored sports activities model that has turn out to be so enmeshed in on-line tradition that it has coined a phrase, Barstool conservatism. ‘Now we have to make entertaining, partaking content material that males wish to watch and care about,” Mr. Kpenkaan stated. “Then, over time, you pepper in additional progressive views.” • “Content material creator” sounds one thing like a producer of “slop feedstock” to me, however what do I do know?
* * * “The State-Degree Variations Between the Presidential and Senate Races” [Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball]. The Summary: “Break up outcomes between presidential and Senate outcomes noticed a resurgence in 2024, as a minimum of 4 Donald Trump-won states despatched Democrats to the Senate. Republicans nonetheless took the bulk within the Senate as a result of whereas Sens. Jon Tester (D-MT) and Sherrod Brown (D-OH) carried out notably higher than Kamala Harris, they didn’t achieve this by sufficient to carry their seats. Throughout most key Senate races, Senate Democrats ran higher than Harris in rural elements of their states however have been comparatively weak in some suburban counties. In one in every of Harris’s greatest states, Maryland, former Gov. Larry Hogan (R-MD) stood out as Republicans’ high overperformer, though Harris’s 26-point margin within the state was an excessive amount of for him to beat.” • Useful map:
Syndemics
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Basic Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the tackle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (wastewater); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep protected on the market!
Transmission: H5N1
“Chook flu: Canadian teenager is critically unwell with new genotype” [BMJ]. “A Canadian adolescent is in a crucial situation in a British Columbia hospital after changing into contaminated with a brand new genotype of H5N1 extremely pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI). The affected person, who has not been publicly recognized, developed conjunctivitis on 2 November, adopted by fever and coughing. Whereas these signs have been widespread in individuals contaminated with H5N1 hen flu in North America—till now, all US circumstances—{the teenager} in Canada then developed acute respiratory misery syndrome and was admitted to intensive care on 8 November. ”
“Canada: PHAC Confirms HPAI H5N1 Genotype D1.1 In B.C. Human An infection” [Avian Flu Diary]. “We now have the reply to a minimum of 2 of our questions relating to the H5 virus an infection in an adolescent from British Columbia; in response to an announcement from the PHAC (h/t FluTrackers) the subtype has been confirmed to be H5N1 and the genotype is D1.1. ” Extra on D.1.1:
Maybe we must always give consideration to invoking the precautionary precept:
We actually shouldn’t play “let ‘er rip” with H5N1, however that’s what we’re doing.
Scientific Communication
Let’s do brunch over at Blue Sky:
Media
“Covid grifters are (nonetheless) improper: the construction of esoteric information” [ClosedForm]. “I might take a weathered need path right here and argue that these analyses are politically harmful along with being ignorant; that they misidentify the culprits, misunderstand the issues, level individuals galvanized to ‘get entangled’ down dead-end paths. Another person could make these arguments. I wish to speak about one thing weirder: the funky thread of esotericism operating by means of the gorgeous tapestry of the Covid grifter neighborhood and thru its related epistemological stance…. The Covid grifters miss (‘miss’ is a bit passive) different explanations as a result of they assume that whether it is printed in a scientific paper, it should be true and should verify their present perception. This can be a grave misunderstanding of what the scientific literature is. It’s not a repository of reality claims. It’s a physique of labor produced by individuals working in a selected political financial system, one which incentivizes publishing ‘statistically important’ findings (which aren’t the identical factor as truly important or significant findings), and actually incentivizes publishing something about sizzling matters like, say, a devastating pandemic.”
Elite Maleficence
The UK, however yikes:
Nosocomial Covid in Wales
‘Variety of inpatient Covid-19 circumstances in hospital in Wales’
On 10 November 2024, a minimum of 67% of inpatient Covid circumstances in Wales have been the results of hospital-acquired SARS-CoV-2 an infection…
(PHW information) pic.twitter.com/HnGsHtf7hL
— Gwladwr (@gwladwr) November 13, 2024
“There’s a Higher Solution to Speak About Fluoride, Vaccines and Uncooked Milk” [Emily Oster, New York Times]. “Contemplate three matters of a lot public dialogue: measles vaccines, uncooked milk and water fluoridation. All three symbolize fault traces between what is claimed by public well being companies and by Mr. Kennedy and different skeptics. The place their messages differ is within the power and complexity of the proof…. My suggestion is that when requested about these matters, well being consultants present this degree of element. Merely saying that vaccines are good and uncooked milk is unhealthy misses specifics that individuals discover essential. Individuals typically do their analysis, and in the event that they really feel the dangers of uncooked milk have been exaggerated, it may erode their belief. Now maybe that particular person is extra prone to mistrust the vaccine messaging, too. With extra info, we offer room for individuals to drink uncooked milk but additionally vaccinate their children. Which is, mainly, an affordable alternative. Offering context additionally helps individuals make sense of latest info…. Being extra nuanced is not going to be straightforward for public well being companies. They should put extra belief of their viewers…. If well being consultants share a extra balanced message about uncooked milk, extra individuals may drink uncooked milk. And, sure, that does entail some elevated danger. I’m arguing that in change you might get increased measles vaccination. It’s not an ideal situation, however it might imply that fewer individuals get sick and die. Which, in any case, ought to be the final word aim.” • The issue right here is that Oster, an economist, has observe report:
Here is a horrendous instance of COVID misinformation unfold by Emily Oster in 2020, which has been confirmed improper by analysis many instances since. Please don’t take heed to any of her recommendation about public well being. pic.twitter.com/bAnP3rbXEv
— Dr. Fortunate Tran (@luckytran) November 14, 2024
Identical to all of the pro-Iraq pundits, nonetheless making financial institution, twenty years later…
HICPAC assembly right now and tomorrow:
♒️Extra in🧵👆🏼
♒️#HICPAC Mtg THURS & FRI Nov 14-15❗️
♒️”CDC’s HICPAC: #COI & Course of Violations Alleged in @TheWHN Suppl Criticism 2 Inspector Basic”
♒️Impt fr @lambertstrether❗️👇🏼
♒️Pls share👇🏽#HCW #H5N1 @PeoplesCDC @Pan_End_It @C19LH_Advocacy https://t.co/cTZ3UTQJ02
— HealthCommunication (@Comm_in_Care) November 13, 2024
I apologize for not attending to this earlier; mentally, I’m nonetheless digging out from the election. Listed here are the drafts HICPAC has been working from:
HICPAC is lastly giving the general public a have a look at the drafts that they are going to be discussing and voting on tomorrow:
Isolation Workgroup – https://t.co/jqVqN8F6P6
Healthcare Personnel Wkgrp – https://t.co/kJ5EnqTFNM— Deb Soc – #KeepMasksInHealthCare #StopTheSpread! (@dsoq) November 13, 2024
For the newest on HICPAC, see NC right here.
TABLE 1: Each day Covid Charts
Wastewater | |
This week[1] CDC November 4 | Final Week[2] CDC (till subsequent week): |
|
|
Variants [3] CDC November 9 | Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC November 2 |
|
|
Hospitalization | |
★ New York[5] New York State, information November 12: | ★ Nationwide [6] CDC November 8: |
|
|
Positivity | |
Nationwide[7] Walgreens November 11: | Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic November 9: |
|
|
Vacationers Information | |
Positivity[9] CDC October 21: | Variants[10] CDC October 21: |
|
|
Deaths | |
Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11] CDC November 2: | Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12] CDC November 2: |
|
|
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new right now; all others aren’t up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (CDC) Excellent news!
[2] (CDC) Final week’s wastewater map.
[3] (CDC Variants) KP.* nonetheless well-liked. XEC has entered the chat. That WHO label, “Ommicron,” has achieved an excellent job normalizing successive waves of an infection.
[4] (ED) Down.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Steadily down.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). Really improved; it’s now one of many few charts to point out your complete course of the pandemic to the current day.
[7] (Walgreens) Down.
[8] (Cleveland) Down.
[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Down.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants). Now XEC.
[11] Deaths low, positivity down.
[12] Deaths low, ED down.
Stats Watch
Employment State of affairs: “United States Preliminary Jobless Claims” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of people submitting for unemployment advantages within the US fell by 4,000 from the earlier week to 217,000 on the interval ending November ninth, the least since Could, and firmly beneath market expectations of a rise to 223,000. In flip, excellent unemployment claims fell by 19,000 to 1,873,000 within the final week of October. The outcomes prolonged the view that the US labor market stays at traditionally robust ranges regardless of the aggressive tightening cycle by the Federal Reserve within the final quarters, including leeway for the central financial institution to sluggish the tempo of financial loosening ought to inflation stay stubbornly excessive.”
Inflation: “United States Producer Costs Closing Demand Much less Meals and Vitality YoY” [Trading Economics]. “The annual core producer inflation within the US which excludes costs for meals and vitality, rose to three.1% in October 2024, following an upwardly revised 2.9% within the prior month and barely above market forecasts of three%.”
Manufacturing: “Pink slips arrive for laid-off Boeing staff as firm begins 10% minimize” [Seattle Times]. “The cuts aren’t anticipated to hit members of the Machinists union, however they did have an effect on members of the engineering union, SPEEA.” • Gained’t they want engineers to design a brand new airplane?
Manufacturing: “Boeing hires Northrop govt to take over Pentagon initiatives” [Reuters]. ” Boeing stated on Thursday it employed former Northrop Grumman govt Colin Miller to go its Phantom Works analysis arm throughout the firm’s protection enterprise unit. Miller’s hiring as normal supervisor of Phantom Works at Boeing Protection, House and Safety (BDS) had been within the works earlier than the arrival of latest Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg. Boeing’s protection enterprise has been struggling underneath the load of budget-busting older contracts, however Ortberg stated in October that the unit which makes helicopters, fighter jets and missiles stays “core” to the corporate’s future.” • To not triage them, then?
Tech: “Mark Zuckerberg Needs to Feed You Extra AI Slop” [Bloomberg]. “Prepare, of us. In a lot the identical manner that quick movies and viral content material took over feeds as soon as populated with posts from our family and friends, the following wave of content material shall be machine-generated. A development from private to viral content material and now to AI content material looks as if a dystopian path for a social media agency that’s lengthy framed itself as “connecting individuals.” However Zuckerberg calls this new pattern ‘promising.’ His view just isn’t uncommon within the trade. I’ve spoken to a number of know-how executives who imagine that AI-generated content material — which might make up as a lot as 90% of content material on the Web, in response to one wild estimate — shall be accepted as the brand new regular. AI-generated movies will ultimately be referred to as ‘movies,’ the pondering goes.” • Good to see “AI Slop” make it right into a Bloomberg headline.
Tech: “Misplaced In The Future” [Ed Zitron, Where’s Your Ed At]. “[E]verybody is affected by the growth-at-all-costs Rot Financial system, as a result of all people is utilizing know-how, on a regular basis, and the know-how in query is getting worse. This election cycle noticed greater than 25 billion textual content messages despatched to potential voters, and seemingly each web site was crammed filled with random election promoting. Our telephones are beset with notifications attempting to ‘growth-hack’ us into doing issues that corporations need, our apps filled with microtransactions, our web sites slower and harder-to-use with infinite calls for of our emails and our telephone numbers and the necessity to log again in as a result of they couldn’t presumably lose a greenback to any person who dared to eat their content material at no cost. Our social networks are so algorithmically charged that they barely present us the issues we wish them to anymore, with executives devoted to filling our feeds with AI-generated slop as a result of regardless of being the buyer, we’re additionally the income mechanism. Our engines like google do much less as a method of creating us use them extra, our relationship apps have turn out to be automobiles for personal fairness so as to add a toll to falling in love, our video video games are continuously nagging us to offer them more cash, and regardless of it costing cash and being hooked up to our account, we don’t truly personal any of the streaming media we buy. We’re drowning in spam — each in our emails and on our telephones — and at this level in our lives we’re most likely agreed to three million pages price of privateness insurance policies permitting corporations to make use of our info as they see match. And these are points that hit every thing we do, on a regular basis, continuously, unrelentingly.” • You say “unrelentingly” like that’s a foul factor.
At present’s Concern & Greed Index: 63 Greed (earlier shut: 67 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 58 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Nov 14 at 1:45:43 PM ET.
Musical Interlude
“Is the Love Tune Dying?” [The Pudding]. Horridly mobile-friendly, however data-driven and definitely worth the hassle. Right here is one helpful (interactive) chart:
(Seranade = “You’re keen on somebody, and so they love you again”; heartache = “However what occurs if you happen to love them, however they only… don’t? Perhaps you broke up, or possibly it’s simply unrequited.”
So how do readers reply the query within the title?
“Jesse Sheidlower solutions our questions on ‘The F-Phrase’” [Strong Language]. “Lexicographer Jesse Sheidlower has been researching and writing about f*ck for a f*cking very long time: practically three many years.” This caught my eye: “You cite the Web Archive as a precious useful resource this time round. Any specifics you possibly can share? [SHEIDLOWER:] I can’t overstate the significance of the Web Archive; it won’t have been attainable to do that version with out it. It holds an immense of quantity of fabric about every thing, so that you don’t simply get mainstream fiction (which is itself, in fact, very helpful), however all kinds of belongings you don’t usually consider. For instance, highschool and faculty yearbooks are an immensely precious supply for casual writing, however hardly anybody has used them for linguistic analysis earlier than. I quote over a dozen yearbooks, all from the Web Archive, on this version, in lots of circumstances offering the earliest instance we’ve got: “f*ck ’em if they will’t take a joke,” from Baltimore in 1971; “f*ck you and the horse you rode in on” in Massachusetts in 1964; MFWIC ‘motherf*cker what’s in cost’ from the US Air Pressure Academy in 1963. This materials simply can’t be discovered wherever else.” • Good factor the Web Archive just isn’t in any manner weak.
Gallery
I ought to be extra of a fan of O’Keefe than I’m:
From a Day with Juan IV pic.twitter.com/GrCrWy6H4g
— Georgia O’Keeffe (@artistokeeffe) November 14, 2024
I didn’t decide this one intentionally, it simply got here throughout my feed. One thing concerning the precise paint…
Healthcare
I can’t vouch for this, but it surely does appear to be one thing to be careful for:
Have any readers skilled this?
Our Famously Free Press
“The Onion Says It Has Purchased Infowars, Alex Jones’s Web site, Out of Chapter” [New York Times]. “The Onion stated that the bid was sanctioned by the households of the victims of the mass taking pictures at Sandy Hook Elementary Faculty, who in 2022 received a $1.4 billion defamation lawsuit in opposition to Mr. Jones and his firm, Free Speech Programs…. The publication plans to reintroduce Infowars in January as a parody of itself, mocking ‘bizarre web personalities’ like Mr. Jones who site visitors in misinformation and well being dietary supplements, Ben Collins, the chief govt of The Onion’s mum or dad firm, World Tetrahedron, stated in an interview.” • Needs to be difficult!
“The mind summons deep sleep for therapeutic from life-threatening harm” [Nature]. “Immune cells rush to the mind and promote deep sleep after a coronary heart assault, in response to a brand new study1 involving each mice and people. This heavy slumber helps restoration by easing irritation within the coronary heart, the research discovered…. The implications of the research transcend coronary heart assault, says Rachel Rowe, a specialist in sleep and irritation on the College of Colorado Boulder. ‘For any type of harm, your physique’s pure response can be that can assist you sleep so your physique can heal,’ she says.”• Hmm. Makes you marvel about different types of irritation and sleep.
Contact info for crops: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a test in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photographs of crops. Greens are superb! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you would like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From Carla:
Carla writes: “The final of our 2024 anemones.”
But once more, form readers, I faucet the signal: Extra plant photographs, please. My stock remains to be extra nervous-making than I would love it to be. Do you will have photographs to ship in, particularly of autumn produce or winter initiatives? I take pleasure in them very a lot, and I’m certain different readers do too!
Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the annual NC fundraiser. Materials right here is Lambert’s, and doesn’t categorical the views of the Bare Capitalism website. Should you see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see wherever else, please don’t hesitate to specific your appreciation in tangible kind. Bear in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common optimistic suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. After I get no donations for 3 or 4 days I get anxious. Extra tangibly, a relentless trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I consider that trickle when setting fundraising objectives:
Right here is the display screen that may seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
Should you hate PayPal, you possibly can e-mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I will provide you with instructions on the best way to ship a test. Thanks!