Home Economics 2:00PM Water Cooler 11/27/2024 | bare capitalism

2:00PM Water Cooler 11/27/2024 | bare capitalism

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2:00PM Water Cooler 11/27/2024 | bare capitalism

By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Fowl Music of the Day

Northern Mockingbird, 350 South Madison Avenue, Pasadena, Los Angeles, California, United States.

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In Case You Would possibly Miss…

  1. Blame cannons thunder after Kamala marketing campaign group podcast.
  2. Boeing supply, layoff woes.

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Search for the Helpers

Typically I keep away from transparently feel-good tales, however because it’s the vacations:

And:

A wonderful instance of Graeber’s “the communism of on a regular basis life.”

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My e-mail tackle is down by the plant; please ship examples of there (“Helpers” within the topic line). In our more and more determined and fragile neoliberal society, on a regular basis regular incidents and tales of “the communism of on a regular basis life” are what I’m searching for (and never, say, the Crimson Cross in Hawaii, and even the UNWRA in Gaza).

Politics

“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are the truth is a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

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2024 Publish Mortem

Who did this:

Sound up, undoubtedly. This body:

As readers know, I oppose distant analysis. However I’ve gotta say… If I have been in a bar, and caught a glimpse of that face throughout the room, I’d suppose the bartender hadn’t been retaining observe. Commentary:

Andrew Yang looks as if a pleasant particular person, but when the concept was to ensure Kamala by no means rean once more, amplifying this video was precisely the precise transfer.

4 days earlier:

Oh yeah.

Deploy the Blame Cannons!

“Downfall of The Democrats | The Reality About The 2024 Election” (video) ShoeOnHead, YouTube]. A number of readers have posted on this “Demödämmerung”*-themed video, so right here it’s. NOTE * I like this umlauts, so I’m retaining them, pedants begöne).

High quality use of anaphora!

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Realized nothing, forgotten nothing:


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The #Resistance

Not “resistance” per se, however the identical individuals utilizing the identical ways:

“The Democrats’ Soiled Tips Playbook?” [Matt Taibbi, Racket News]. “The newly launched court docket docs bear out the truth that there was deep concern throughout the blue activist world in regards to the third-party run. A memo despatched from political strategist Lucy Caldwell to Dmitri Mehlhorn, aide to billionaire donor and LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman, described No Labels as a ‘looming forest hearth’ that will be a ‘nuclear grade menace’ if it nominated a candidate and reached a ‘dwell marketing campaign setting.’ To forestall that, Caldwell proposed a protracted marketing campaign of ‘model destruction,’ utilizing ‘managed burns’ to place the hearth out lengthy earlier than the election. As Lincoln Mission co-founder Rick Wilson put it much less subtly in a tweeted video final April, No Labels wanted to be ‘burned to the fucking floor politically.’” And after an 80-minute convention name between Democratic Get together-aligned activist teams, “former Emily’s Listing chief Emily Kane, now of Third Means, wrote a letter after the dialogue reported on by Semafor, summing up the conclusions of what she known as, within the topic line, the ‘Anti-No-Labels Coalition assembly.’ Notably acknowledging they have been certainly ‘working collectively as a broad coalition’ to ‘struggle the anti-democratic operation that’s No Labels,; it added with out irony that this struggle for democracy must also embody ‘deterring different third celebration presidential efforts.’” • Politics ain’t beanbag. However simply don’t name yourselves Democrats, uppercase or lowercase D.

Syndemics

“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

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Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Basic Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the tackle given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater reviews); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (wastewater); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep secure on the market!

Elite Maleficence

Every little thing’s going in response to plan:

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TABLE 1: Each day Covid Charts

Lambert right here: Regardless that the Covid numbers appear low, please do not forget that the information is just not almost nearly as good because it as soon as was, that it lags, and that the draw back dangers of catching Covid are appreciable. For individuals who have developed their very own private protocols, I wouldn’t loosen up them. Possibly subsequent 12 months.

Wastewater
This week[1] CDC November 18 Final Week[2] CDC (till subsequent week):

Variants [3] CDC November 23 middle Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC November 16

Hospitalization
New York[5] New York State, knowledge November 25: Nationwide [6] CDC November 21:

Positivity
middle Nationwide[7] Walgreens November 25: Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic November 23:

Vacationers Information
Positivity[9] CDC November 4: Variants[10] CDC November 4:

Deaths
Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11] CDC November 2: Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12] CDC November 2:

LEGEND

1) for charts new right this moment; all others will not be up to date.

2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”

NOTES

[1] (CDC) Excellent news!

[2] (CDC) Final week’s wastewater map.

[3] (CDC Variants) KP.* nonetheless widespread. XEC has entered the chat. That WHO label, “Ommicron,” has achieved an amazing job normalizing successive waves of an infection.

[4] (ED) Down.

[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Steadily down.

[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). Really improved; it’s now one of many few charts to indicate the complete course of the pandemic to the current day.

[7] (Walgreens) Down.

[8] (Cleveland) Down.

[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Down.

[10] (Vacationers: Variants). Now XEC.

[11] Deaths low, positivity down.

[12] Deaths low, ED down.

Stats Watch

GDP: “United States GDP Development Charge” [Trading Economics]. “The US financial system expanded an annualized 2.8% in Q3 2024, the identical as within the advance estimate, in comparison with 3% in Q2. Private spending elevated on the quickest tempo since Q1 2023 though it was revised barely decrease from the advance estimate (3.5% vs 3.7%). It was boosted by a 5.6% surge in consumption of products (vs 6% within the advance estimate) and a strong spending on providers (2.6%, the identical as within the advance estimate). Authorities consumption development was unrevised at 5%.”

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Manufacturing: “‘Expansionist’ Emirates unveils first A350 and waits on arrival of longer-range model” [FlightGlobal]. “Philippe Mhun, Airbus government vice-president for programmes and providers, declines to say what number of A350s it can hand over to Emirates subsequent 12 months, however says the provider will account for a “giant half” of 2025’s output – someplace within the area of 25-30%…. Clark says the provider stays ‘expansionist’ however requires extra capability to satisfy its objectives. ‘We’re a annoyed entity as a result of we want airplanes and we want them tomorrow.’ Had Boeing managed to maintain to the unique timeline for the 777X ‘we’d have had 85 777Xs by now’, says [Emirates president Sir Tim Clark]. Boeing’s newest forecast is for 777X deliveries to begin in 2026, though with Emirates third in line to obtain the twinjet, its deliveries are more likely to be in direction of the again finish of the 12 months at greatest.”

Manufacturing: “Laid-off Boeing staff fear for themselves, and the corporate that reduce them” [Seattle Times]. “Layoff notices got here within the type of telephone calls, 10-minute calendar holds and scripted conversations with managers. One employee left with a gifted bottle of whiskey. One other wasn’t even allowed to maintain the cardboard field they’d used to gather their belongings. Some staff had ready for the information; Boeing executives had spent weeks speaking about decreasing inefficiencies and specializing in the core components of the struggling enterprise. Others have been blindsided, counting on years of constructive opinions and, in some circumstances, assurances their jobs have been secure…. [The Everett-based worker] mentioned he can’t assist however really feel that ‘there’s not a lot runway’ left for the corporate. ‘There’s a degree of care and a degree of information that simply gained’t be there.’”

Manufacturing: “FAA Says No Speedy Repair Wanted For Boeing 737 MAX Engine Smoke In Cabin After Fowl Strike Incidents” [Simple Flying]. “The FAA’s Workplace of Accident Investigation and Prevention advisable software program adjustments to the engine’s bleed air system’s response to a hen strike. The workplace’s suggestion learn that the required design change would detect the rapid impulse of a hen strike or fan blade loss occasion and robotically shut the affected engine’s Strain Regulated Shutoff Valves (PRSOV) or journey the related air-con pack.” • Extra on the leaked memo right here.

Manufacturing: “Life is healthier with out Boeing, airline government says” [Quartz]. “Boeing’s ongoing struggles have disrupted airways racing to interchange ageing fleets worldwide, however easyJet has prevented each these troubles and the engine points plaguing some Airbus operators. In an interview with Bloomberg Tv, Chief Government Johan Lundgren expressed thanks that he had Airbus planes with CFM Worldwide engines…. [Some] airline executives, like United Airways Chief Government Scott Kirby, have publicly known as for a brand new competitor to displace the worldwide Airbus-Boeing planemaking duopoly.” • Too dangerous about Bombardier. Embraer? China?

Tech: “Drake takes Kendrick Lamar rap feud to US courts” [Yahoo News]. “Lamar’s “Not Like Us,” which accused Drake of getting relationships with underage ladies, loved big industrial and demanding acclaim, exceeding 900 million performs on streaming platform Spotify and incomes a number of Grammy nominations, together with track of the 12 months. However within the first of two court docket filings this week, Drake on Monday accused Common Music Group (UMG), which distributed the track, of charging Spotify unusually low costs to license the observe, in return for the streamer extensively recommending the observe to its subscribers. Based on a court docket doc filed in New York, Drake additionally accused UMG of utilizing automated laptop ‘bots’ to artificially inflate the supposed variety of occasions the track has been streamed on Spotify.”

Statistics: Talking of GDP:


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Right this moment’s Worry & Greed Index: 64 Greed (earlier shut: 64 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 49 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Nov 27 at 2:10:45 PM ET.

Gallery

Winter (1):

Winter (2):

Zeitgeist Watch

I really like the idea of a “pamphlet launch”:

Class Warfare

No marvel she left the nation:

One thing huge coming down the pike?

Information of the Wired

“Scale-invariant topology and bursty branching of evolutionary bushes emerge from area of interest development” [PNAS]. You’ll like this, if that is the kind of factor you want. The closing paragraph: “Our outcomes present that area of interest development is greater than a suggestions between evolutionary and ecological processes arising when their timescales will not be extensively separated. Area of interest development not solely results in a perturbation within the evolutionary trajectories of all elements of an ecosystem, but additionally creates an indelible footprint on the evolutionary course of that can not be eradicated, even for very lengthy occasions. These reminiscence results manifest themselves by the anomalous scaling legal guidelines that characterize noticed phylogenetic bushes.” • What intrigued me was a sentence within the Summary: “Phylogenetic bushes describe each the evolutionary course of and neighborhood range,” however apparently “neighborhood” is just not utilized in a sociological sense.

Dad.


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Contact info for vegetation: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a verify if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photos of vegetation. Greens are wonderful! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you’d like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it in the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From NYT_Memes:

NYT_Memes writes: “Discovered this after rain final week. Sudden explosion of mushrooms.” Fungi are honorary vegetation.

Readers, if you happen to haven’t despatched in a plant photograph to Water Cooler, why not strive it? It’s straightforward, it’s enjoyable, and also you get some good compliments! (In the event you want instructions, see beneath.)

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About Lambert Strether

Readers, I’ve had a correspondent characterize my views as reasonable cynical. Let me briefly clarify them. I consider in common packages that present concrete materials advantages, particularly to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime instance, however tuition-free school and a Publish Workplace Financial institution additionally fall underneath this heading. So do a Jobs Assure and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can ship on such packages, as a result of the 2 are completely different flavors of neoliberalism (“As a result of markets”). I don’t a lot care in regards to the “ism” that delivers the advantages, though whichever one does need to put widespread humanity first, versus markets. Might be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t a lot care, so long as the advantages are delivered.

To me, the important thing problem — and for this reason Medicare for All is all the time first with me — is the tens of 1000’s of extra “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton examine, and different current research. That big physique rely makes Medicare for All, on the very least, an ethical and strategic crucial. And that degree of struggling and natural injury makes the issues of id politics — even the worthy struggle to assist the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — vivid shiny objects by comparability. Therefore my frustration with the information circulate — presently for my part the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the opposite by out-of-power liberals and their allies within the State and within the press — a information circulate that continually forces me to concentrate on issues that I regard as of secondary significance to the surplus deaths. What sort of political financial system is it that halts and even reverses the will increase in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I’m additionally very hopeful that the persevering with destruction of each celebration institutions will open the area for voices supporting packages just like these I’ve listed; let’s name such voices “the left.” Volatility creates alternative, particularly if the Democrat institution, which places markets first and opposes all such packages, isn’t allowed to get again into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I really like the tactical degree, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been running a blog about it day by day for fourteen years, however all the pieces I write has this angle behind it.