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Chicken Tune of the Day

Grey Catbird, Lord Stirling Park, Somerset, New Jersey, United States.

In Case You May Miss…

1. Newest Trump assassination information (what a world).
2. Boeing managers and executives laid off.
3. Diddy had higher ensure the CCTV works always.
4. The philosphy recreation.

Politics

“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are actually a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

Trump Assassination Makes an attempt (Plural)

“N4T Investigators: A number of Trump supporters seated on stage throughout Tucson rally expertise eye accidents” [KVOA]. ” It’s a thriller at a Donald Trump rally that left a number of folks with eye accidents and few solutions. The Information 4 Tucson Investigators spoke solely with six individuals who have been seated on stage behind the previous president throughout his rally in Tucson final week. Three of them agreed to on digicam interviews… The entire folks we spoke with skilled eye irritation and sought medical consideration. One among them is Mayra Rodriguez, who turned a distinguished determine inside the Republican occasion after changing into a Deliberate Parenthood ‘whistleblower.’ Rodriguez was a Deliberate Parenthood Director however made a notable transition into a robust pro-life advocate and supporter of Donald Trump. Rodriguez mentioned her presence behind Trump at his Tucson rally was ironic as a result of she was seated behind former presidential candidate Hillary Clinton throughout an occasion in 2016…. The N4T Investigators spoke with a brother and sister that have been seated close to Mayra, they didn’t need to be recognized. ‘It saved getting worse and worse, my eyes have been watering loads, my nostril began operating then I began feeling my face get actually flushed and my neck felt prefer it was on fireplace and it simply progressed from there,’ the sister mentioned. Her brother informed us, ‘It was all targeted on my eyes, my eyes have been crimson like hell you understand, it’s insufferable. I couldn’t deal with it.’ The opposite supporters who didn’t conform to on digicam interviews informed us about very comparable accidents. One girl who’s an area realtor mentioned she needed to cancel all her showings over the weekend as a result of she couldn’t see effectively.” I don’t know the place else to file this, so right here it’s. However: “On Tuesday after repeated inquiries from the N4T Investigators Trump Senior Marketing campaign Advisor despatched us the next assertion: ‘The Trump marketing campaign has been amassing data. We stay dedicated to the numerous patriots that attend our high-energy, high-impact rallies throughout the nation.’” • So we’ll see.

“How the Trump marketing campaign has been pressured to adapt to assassination threats” [WaPo]. “Lower than two weeks after an murderer’s bullet grazed Donald Trump’s ear this summer time, he was held backstage at a Nashville occasion for greater than an hour due to a possible safety risk… The delay was emblematic of a rising burden that the alarming threats to Trump’s life have turn into for him and his marketing campaign.” I’m not saying something about causality, however the internet impact is strictly like lawfare: A marketing campaign’s most beneficial useful resource is the candidates time, and these “threats” suck it up. Extra: “Occasions have taken far longer to plan due to restricted assets. Bulletproof glass now containers him in at out of doors occasions. Marketing campaign officers have been warned by the federal government about the potential for [see above] that would goal the previous president. His staff has gotten nervous about drones focusing on him at golf programs and at out of doors venues after listening to briefings from the Secret Service.”

“17% Say America Would Be Higher Off If Trump Had Been Killed” [Napolitano News Service] (about). Rassmussen on-line ballot, so take with a truckload of salts. “Seventeen % (17%) of voters imagine America would have been higher off if former President Trump had been killed in final week’s tried assassination. That determine consists of 28% of Democrats who say that America would have been higher off if Trump had been assassinated. One other 24% of Democrats weren’t positive. Fewer than half (48%) of Democrats may deliver themselves to say that America wouldn’t be higher off if the opposing occasion’s candidate for president had been assassinated. Scott Rasmussen, president of RMG Analysis, mentioned ‘It’s arduous to think about a higher risk to democracy than expressing a want to have your political opponent murdered.’ Regardless of two assassination makes an attempt in two months, simply over half of all Democrats (51%) don’t see a necessity to extend Trump’s safety element. Amongst all voters, 62% suppose Trump’s safety ought to be elevated and 32% disagree. Forty-nine % (49%) of Democrats suppose it’s no less than considerably possible that Trump himself or the Trump marketing campaign was concerned with the assassination try, with 21% saying it was very possible. Fifty-two % (52%) of Republicans suppose it’s no less than considerably possible that the Democratic Celebration or the Harris marketing campaign was concerned, with 28% saying it’s very possible.” • Even should you transfer the decimal level one place to the fitting (51% to five.1%) these numbers are nonetheless fairly alarming. The one which apprehensive me probably the most is that this one: “Forty-nine % (49%) of Democrats suppose it’s no less than considerably possible that Trump himself or the Trump marketing campaign was concerned with the assassination try, with 21% saying it was very possible.” that is pure CT (which is one thing solely Republicans are imagined to be susceptible to). I’ve by no means seen any proof of this in any respect, and I do attempt to preserve monitor (solely the odd “will need to have”-style tweet).

2024

Lower than sixty days to go!

Friday’s RCP Ballot Averages:

A couple of polls post-debate, however as of this studying little change. To be honest, it would take a while for sentiment to settle; and the profitable margins could at this level be so minute as to be undetectable. Nonetheless, the Democrats should be very puzzled to have digital unanimity throughout the political spectrum that “Harris is the one” — it was a tidal wave, after the talk — and but the election is a digital tie. How can this be? Maybe a number of extra Republicans, generals, or celebrities will flip the tide.

* * *

“Don’t let randomness make a idiot of you” [Nate Silver, Silver Bulletin]. “An election is not only an extremely vital story however a narrative that many individuals understandably really feel extremely emotional about. The extraordinarily partisan political local weather in the USA makes all of this worse and allows folks to rationalize a whole lot of abusive conduct. Polls and fashions turn into a car for what psychologists name transference: principally, folks displace all their anxieties concerning the election onto the forecasts and the individuals who design them…. On Twitter particularly, there may be full context collapse. Individuals deal with probabilistic predictions as deterministic ones, e.g. if Trump goes from a 48 % probability of profitable Wisconsin to a 52 % probability, you’ll get a whole lot of Nate Silver is looking Wisconsin for Trump!!! though the forecast expresses a excessive diploma of uncertainty and nothing within the mannequin has actually modified. And that’s on day. …. On November fifth, we’ll all get up with a whole lot of uncertainty about who will win. And we’d go to mattress with a whole lot of uncertainty, too: if latest American elections are any information, the result may take a number of days to resolve……. So lead your greatest life, and have the serenity to just accept the stuff you can not change.” • Yep.

* * *
* * *

Syndemics

“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the handle given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep protected on the market!

Airborne Transmission: Covid

“Superspreading of SARS-CoV-2 at a choir rehearsal in Finland—A computational fluid dynamics view on aerosol transmission and affected person interviews” [PLOS One]. “COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the function of aerosol transmission and the significance of superspreading occasions. We analyzed a choir rehearsal in November 2020, the place all contributors, besides one who had just lately earlier recovered from COVID-19, have been contaminated. We discover the chance components for extreme illness on this occasion and mannequin the aerosol dispersion within the rehearsal room….. Modeling indicated an infection threat ranges of 70–100% after one hour; the chance would have been significantly diminished by carrying high-filtration respirators. Age and pre-existing comorbidities predicted extra extreme illness. The excessive incidence of sickness could also be partly attributed to the comparatively excessive median age of people.” • Or filters, or open home windows, and even some type of RV. Bear in mind the Skagit Valley Choir examine? Time is a flat circle…

Immune Dysregulation

“Tuberculosis case found in Union County highschool scholar; a whole bunch might be uncovered: Well being Division” [Queen City News]. “The Union County Public Well being Division is investigating a case of energetic [tuberculosis (TB)] involving a scholar at Porter Ridge Excessive Faculty in Indian Path. The coed is following acceptable protocol for energetic circumstances. ‘Tuberculosis is a bacterial illness that primarily impacts the lungs, and causes a power cough,’ mentioned pediatrician, Dr. Carlos Paxtor. Well being officers say no less than 270 people could have been involved with the coed and are inspired to get examined. TB can unfold via the air when an individual with an energetic case coughs, sneezes, sings or talks. Union County normally sees round 4 TB circumstances yearly. When it comes to is transmissibility, it’s not even on the identical scale as COVID. ‘It’s not factor to have tuberculosis. It’s some of the feared circumstances that we see in third world international locations, however in our nation right here in the USA, we do have the flexibility to combat this very, very effectively,’ Paxtor mentioned.” • However why? ‘Tis a thriller!

Elite Maleficence

Extra absurdities from the UK:

Wonderful second at #CovidInquiry as Chair holds up two face masks one surgical and one FFP3 and asks Dr Susan Hopkins of @UKHSA certainly the 2nd is safer and he or she replied no. That is #farce and tragedy and explains why #PublicHealth has failed #CovidIsntOver 😷

— Joseph Healy (@Verde1957) September 18, 2024

If there’s any stay protection of this occasion in addition to on the Twitter, may some variety soul let me know?

TABLE 1: Every day Covid Charts

Employment Scenario: “United States Preliminary Jobless Claims” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of folks claiming unemployment advantages within the US dropped by 12,000 from the earlier week to 219,000 on the interval ending September 14th, considerably beneath market expectations of 230,000, and reaching a brand new 4-month low. Regardless of this decline, the declare depend remained above the averages seen earlier this 12 months, because the US labor market has softened since its post-pandemic peak [sic], though it stays traditionally tight.”

Manufacturing: “United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index within the US rose to 1.7 in September 2024, recovering from -7 in August and beating forecasts of -1.”

Manufacturing: “Passengers describe accidents from Delta flight with cabin stress points” [KSL]. ” Two Delta Air Traces passengers say they’re nonetheless recovering from a pressurization subject on a aircraft that brought on bloody noses and busted eardrums. Caryn Allen mentioned it didn’t take very lengthy for different passengers to note one thing was incorrect with Delta Air Traces Flight 1203, which was flying from Salt Lake Metropolis to Portland. ‘I regarded over at my husband, and he had each of his palms over his ears, you understand, sort of leaning ahead,’ Allen mentioned… One other passenger, Jaci Purser, mentioned it felt like anyone was stabbing her within the ear. She felt her ear pop from the stress within the cabin, then bubble. ‘I grabbed my ear, and I pulled my hand again, and there was blood on it,’ Purser mentioned. Purser mentioned the airline paid for a Lyft journey to the hospital. Purser was identified with a ruptured eardrum.” • I’m wondering if Delta paid for the eardrum. And also you’ll by no means guess the kind of aircraft: Boeing 737-900.

Manufacturing: “Boeing accused of being ‘unprepared’ for federal mediation as strike continues” [Guardian]. “IAM Native 751 went into negotiations with Boeing and a federal mediator on Tuesday, however talks reportedly didn’t initially go effectively with union officers accusing the corporate of coming into the negotiation unprepared. ‘We won’t mince phrases – after a full day of mediation, we’re annoyed. The corporate was not ready and was unwilling to deal with the problems you’ve made clear are important for ending this strike: Wages and Pension,’ the union’s negotiating committee mentioned in a letter to members. ‘The corporate doesn’t appear to be taking mediation severely,’ the negotiating committee mentioned. ‘We’re combating for what is correct and simply – for what we’ve earned over the previous 16 years.’” And: “Bruce McFarland, an instrumentation technician who has labored at Boeing for 36 years, defined he waited to get employed for a 12 months after leaving the navy due to how coveted jobs at Boeing have been. That’s not the case, he mentioned, and the corporate now has problem hiring and retaining staff… If the corporate needs to be world class, it wants to start out treating its staff as world class. The times are over of us simply rolling over. We did that eight years in the past, and we’re not doing that once more. We’re not backing down.’” • Once more, why aren’t seats, plural, on the Board a requirement? Do we’ve a machinist within the readership who can reply?

Manufacturing: “Boeing lays off 1000’s of executives, managers, non-union contractors amid strike” [UPI]. ” Boeing mentioned Wednesday it’s briefly shedding tens of 1000’s of managers, executives and non-union contractors because the strike by 33,000 Worldwide Affiliation of Machinists and Aerospace Employees union members continues.” • Presumably the managers and executives are at-will staff? Why not simply fireplace them?

Manufacturing: “How a lot hassle is Boeing in?” [The Economist]. “Pay is on the centre of the most recent dispute. Boeing provided its staff a 25% rise over 4 years; its staff are demanding 40%. That may be much less of an issue for the corporate than it sounds—.” Extra: “Boeing could take consolation in its huge backlog of orders for passenger jets. However Airbus’s is much greater. The European agency is more likely to manufacture round 770 planes this 12 months, and its share worth is near its pre-pandemic excessive. Airbus additionally just lately introduced that it will launch a brand new plane by the top of the last decade. Boeing might not be vulnerable to collapse, however the longer it takes to spin up its engines once more, the additional behind it’s going to fall.”

Manufacturing: “The Boeing strike has already value the corporate and its staff $572 million – and the tempo of losses is climbing” [CNN]. • So take that pencil-necked MBA dude Brian West out of the loop and provides the employees what they need. Why is that this so arduous?

Transport: “From Dream to Catastrophe: The Heartbreaking Saga of a Classic Cruise Ship” [gCaptain]. “The commercial was simply ignored—a dilapidated cruise ship on the market on Craigslist in 2008. However for Chris Willson, a tech entrepreneur from Utah, it was a siren’s name. That easy click on led him right into a 15-year odyssey of ardour, toil, over $1 million in bills and supreme sinking heartbreak.” • A gap within the water….

In the present day’s Concern & Greed Index: 68 Greed (earlier shut: 56 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 44 (Concern). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Sep 19 at 1:18:48 PM ET.

Gallery

Klimt!

Class Warfare

“Diddy ‘as dangerous as Epstein,’ says officer who noticed his intercourse rooms, hidden cameras throughout Miami mansion raid” [New York Post]. “One of many Division of Homeland Safety brokers who helped raid Diddy’s Florida abode claimed that the music mogul had rooms that have been clearly ‘devoted to intercourse’ with cameras throughout. ‘So should you have been in these intercourse events, you have been being recorded from each potential angle, together with angles you wouldn’t have recognized about,’ the supply mentioned…. ‘He additionally was capable of watch the motion remotely on his telephone, solid it onto a TV in one other a part of the home,’ the supply mentioned. ‘He didn’t need to be within the room when the intercourse was taking place, though he ceaselessly was.’… Authorities say that a few of Combs’ alleged victims are cooperating with authorities.” • Hmm. So, simply out of curiosity, the place the one males on tape the service suppliers Diddy employed? Commentary:

(Undecided on Kendzior as a supply, however she appears to be proper right here.) These aren’t good folks in any respect.

“Division of Labor Recovers $109K in Again Wages, Damages from Employers Who Denied Full Wages to 359 Employees at 5 New Orleans Eating places” [Department of Justice (JB)]. “The division’s Wage and Hour Division decided Bobby Hebert’s Cajun Cannon, the Hideout Bar, Mambo’s, Oceana Grill, and the Olde NOLA Cookery deducted the price of uniforms, order errors, liquor shortages, buyer walk-outs and buyer bank card disputes from staff’ wages in violation of federal laws. The investigation recovered $109,154, together with $54,577 in again wages and an equal quantity in damages – for the tipped servers and bartenders. The investigations are a part of an ongoing enforcement initiative by the division to determine violations within the restaurant trade and get better again wages. If warranted, the division will get better damages and assess civil cash penalties.” • Oddly, no point out of this within the Instances-Picayune that I can discover

“Tribal Nations & Eco-Feminist Provisioning With Josefina Li” [Money on the Left]. Li went to UMKC. “Economics isn’t a examine of scarce assets amongst competing ends, however fairly a examine of social provisioning, that’s how society organized themselves for social provision, and that features social replica.” • Yep.

Provisioning housing, for instance. Or not:

Information of the Wired

“Do All Roads Result in Philosophy on Wikipedia?: They Do About 97.3% of the Time” [OpenCulture]. “Pull up the Wikipedia web page for Mariya Takeuchi’s ‘Plastic Love,’ the 1984 single now recognized for re-popularizing the style of Japanese ‘metropolis pop.’ Then click on the primary of its hyperlinks (not associated to the language of the article itself), which results in Takeuchi’s personal web page. In case you preserve following that very same process, you’ll proceed on to Metropolis Pop, then Japanese Pop Music, then Standard Music. Preserve drilling down, and also you’ll move the very ideas of music and sound, then enter the realms of physics, the scientific technique, logical propositions, and the philosophy of language. That is one instance offered by the video above from YouTuber Not David, which investigates whether or not all roads on Wikipedia finally result in philosophy… The ‘philosophy recreation,’ as Not David calls it, is always topic to breakage, but in addition to un-breakage. At regular instances, Orange Juice to Philosophy takes 13 steps, Apple Juice to Philosophy takes fifteen steps; each the Calgary Flames and Edmonton Oilers lie sixteen steps from Philosophy. However issues go haywire if somebody goes and, say, re-orders the hyperlinks on the Consciousness article so Psychology comes first.” • Hmm. Appears like a recreation anybody can play. Readers?

Contact data for vegetation: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a test in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me pictures of vegetation. Greens are nice! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! In order for you your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From SC:

SC writes: “Here’s a ‘quickie’ from one other mission, a ‘customized rising’ request that I took up out of curiosity within the ‘propagation how you can’ in addition to the neat DIY natural drugs facet.

SC additional commments:

For a number of years I’ve been beginning vital numbers of vegetation from seed for my very own use and to present away in hope of encouraging folks whose schedules allow to get into gardening. Early this 12 months a buddy who has been an everyday distributee conveyed a contact’s request for Lemongrass (Cymbopogon citratus), which may be made into an natural infusion with anti-inflammatory properties (curiously, one of many energetic elements of LG is quercetin, which can have antiviral advantages. Additionally fascinating, I’ve seen studies that ingesting lemongrass tea could make an individual much less palatable to mosquitos). It is a new plant to me; the thought of DIY natural drugs is intriguing. The plant is simple to start out from seed, although the germination fee, at ~30%, was disappointing and effectively beneath what the seed vendor’s data led me to anticipate. My buddy accepted a number of vegetation and potted them up in out of doors soil. The pictured plant, began in late February and photographed in early August, could be very massive and strong in contrast with those I’ve saved, which I left in rising medium amended with slow-release fertilizer. The second photograph is of a pot of Lemongrass tea. The species can not survive Northern winters and the pictured plant will must be overwintered indoors; it may be pruned again earlier than bringing indoors and the harvested leaf will make fairly a little bit of tea.