Chook Tune of the Day

Sage Thrasher, Elko, Nevada, United States. “Songs from a chicken perched on the tops of quick juniper bushes.”

In Case You Would possibly Miss…

1. The state of the electoral school.
2. Trump turning populist within the house stretch?
3. Democrats: institutional benefits, political disabilities?
4. Boeing “Finest And Ultimate Provide” roundly rejected by machinists.

Politics

“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are actually a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

Trump Assassination Makes an attempt (Plural)

“Political Violence Feeds on Itself” [The Atlantic]. “On the heart of the current pattern towards political violence is Trump…. Trump has helped normalize the concept that some political variations are too massive to be settled by democratic means. Surviving an assassination try hasn’t satisfied him of the necessity to de-escalate. Certainly, he’s doing the other. Trump claimed in his debate with Kamala Harris that “I in all probability took a bullet to the pinnacle due to the issues they are saying about me”—an obvious reference to the vp and her supporters.” • tl;dr: He was asking for it.

* * *

“‘Ticking time bomb’: Those that raised suspicions about Donald Trump suspect query if sufficient was achieved” [Florida Politics]. “”Ryan Routh is a ticking time bomb,” she recalled telling U.S. Customs and Border Safety officers in an hourlong interview upon returning to the USA at Dulles Worldwide Airport close to Washington in June 2022. She says she later repeated her considerations in separate tricks to each the FBI and Interpol, the worldwide policing group. Walsh says she by no means heard again about her ideas and he or she didn’t suppose far more about Routh till she noticed him within the information…. Walsh’s account was considered one of not less than 4 stories to the U.S. authorities that, whereas not direct threats to Trump, raised suspicions about Routh within the years main as much as his arrest. Others included a tip to the FBI in 2019 about Routh being in possession of a firearm after a felony conviction, an internet report by an support employee to the State Division final yr questioning Routh’s army recruiting ways, and Routh’s personal interview with Customs and Border Safety about these efforts, prompting a referral for a doable inquiry by Homeland Safety Investigations.” • Undecided whether or not the intelligence neighborhood can nonetheless meet Snowden’s baseline of “zero contact” or not.

“Trump accuses DOJ, FBI of ‘mishandling and downplaying’ assassination try” [The Hill]. “‘The Kamala Harris/Joe Biden Division of Justice and FBI are mishandling and downplaying the second assassination try on my life since July,’ Trump mentioned. ‘The costs introduced in opposition to the maniac murderer are a slap on the wrist. It’s no surprise, for the reason that DOJ and FBI have been coming after me nonstop with Weaponized Lawfare since I introduced my first Historic Marketing campaign for the Presidency.’” • However don’t prosecutors use “placeholder fees” to get the method shifting, then escalate? Now, is the press “mishandling and downplaying”? Very clearly.

“FBI: Son of suspect in Trump assassination try arrested on youngster sexual abuse photos fees” [Associated Press]. “The son of the person suspected within the assassination try in Florida in opposition to former President Donald Trump has been arrested on federal fees of possessing youngster sexual abuse photos. Oran Alexander Routh was arrested this week after authorities searched his Greensboro, North Carolina, house ‘in reference to an investigation unrelated to youngster exploitation,’ and located tons of of recordsdata depicting youngster sexual abuse, an FBI agent mentioned in courtroom papers. Investigators who seized a number of digital units discovered movies despatched to Oran Routh in July in addition to chats from a messaging utility generally utilized by individuals who share youngster sexual abuse materials, the FBI agent mentioned.”

Biden Administration

“Failed Offers Climb as Antitrust Enforcers Push Aggressive Agenda” [Bloomberg]. “Companies attracting antitrust scrutiny are abandoning offers at their highest clip in years, because the Biden administration’s enforcers seem to make good on a coverage pushing for extra lawsuits and fewer settlements.

Six important merger inquiries throughout the first half of 2024 ended with the Federal Commerce Fee or Division of Justice saying the events nixed a proposed transaction, a determine that exceeds yearly totals from the earlier decade, in accordance with a report from the regulation agency Dechert LLP.

The surge in abandonments coincides with a decline in settlements and negotiated fixes, as soon as a trademark of antitrust enforcement. Whereas the variety of offers dealing with investigations and challenges stays a tiny fraction of general M&A, sure transactions are dealing with elevated stakes.” • That’s a rattling disgrace. And but Kamala isn’t working on this. She hasn’t hugged Lina Khan but!

2024

Lower than fifty days to go!

Friday’s RCP Ballot Averages:

If there was a debate bounce, it was very small. If I had been the Trump marketing campaign, I’d be very anxious about Pennsylvania. Perhaps a reader from Pennsylvania can make clear. Are we one thing like a North Philly Democrat/Bucks County By no means Trumper Alliance? As soon as once more, the Democrats should be very puzzled to have digital unanimity throughout the political spectrum that “Harris is the one” — little question there might be one other liberalgasm after Oprah — and but the election is a digital tie. How can this be? Maybe a number of extra Republicans, generals, or celebrities will flip the tide.

* * *

If the election had been held in the present day:

I made this map at 270toWin by means of the straightforward expedient of shifting all “leaning” states to Crimson or Blue, then RCP’s swing state chart and giving every state to the at present main candidate. That is in no sense a prediction; I’m simply demonstrating how shut the race is. Additionally, enjoying round with the Swing States on the map…. It’s a tough downside. I’d think about each campaigns are each below unimaginable stress and never clear what might be achieved (if something). If the election is to be determined at a margin composed of tiny increments, how are these increments to be focused and persuaded? Is it even doable?

UPDATE Hat tip to alert reader voislav; I bought Michigan unsuitable within the orginal model of the map (though Michigan is unquestionably in play due to Kamala throwing the Muslim vote below the bus, nonetheless Kamala now leads there). The revised map, nevertheless, emphasizes my priors: The salience of Pennsylvania.

“2024 has been an ‘unprecedented’ election, however the polls are telling us one other story” [The Hill]. “The marketing campaign dash to Election Day has begun, and as at all times, an inordinate quantity of consideration is on public polling. These polls are telling us the actual story of the marketing campaign to date — however are we keen to pay attention? Trying throughout the marketing campaign over the past six months, past the wilder twists — together with not simply two vice presidential choices but in addition President Biden’s unprecedented withdrawal and two makes an attempt on Donald Trump’s life — a clearer story emerges. The one important adjustments in head-to-head presidential polling occurred in fast succession: after Biden’s debate, after which after Harris changed him because the nominee. That’s it — all the remainder is noise…. In each 2012 and 2016, the election was very tight at this stage. In 2016, Hillary Clinton held only a 2-point lead two months out; Barack Obama held a 4-point lead at this level in 2012….. What in regards to the states? That’s the precise query, as a result of the successful candidate has to win 270 electoral votes by successful states, not the nationwide vote. However in the case of polling, the mathematics may be very difficult. Due to their dominance amongst rural voters, the GOP is healthier positioned to win with out successful the nationwide common vote, as Democrats rack up “further” votes within the city areas of states like California and New York. So what do the polls say about which states we should always we take a look at? Right here’s the place the calculations are hardest. Polls fluctuate in high quality and frequency on the state degree, making it troublesome to actually assess the relative ‘winnability’ of various states. Furthermore, (and elements of states in Nebraska and Maine) . One cycle’s pivotal states are sometimes totally different from the earlier one. In 2020, the pivotal states had been Georgia and Arizona. In 2016, it was the ‘blue wall’ of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. And in 2012, Obama took former Republican strongholds Florida, Ohio and Virginia. What’s it going to be in 2024? May it’s the Blue Wall once more? Or maybe a mixture of Georgia and Pennsylvania? The polls will level to any variety of states, however identical to in 2012 and 2016, the states that decide the election is perhaps totally different from what we anticipated. ” • Like Hollywood: “No one is aware of something.”

* * *

Kamala (D):

Each enterprise in America hates Visa. If Kamala Harris knew something about coverage she’d have stuff to speak about. Alas. https://t.co/PdMEPKpurC

— Matt Stoller (@matthewstoller) September 24, 2024

We stay in a timeline the place Donald Trump is the candidate working a policy-based marketing campaign. You could not like the insurance policies, and the insurance policies don’t are available in pre-digested bullet factors, however insurance policies they’re.

Kamala (D): “Kamala Harris outspends Trump 3-to-1 as Wall Avenue floods her with money” [Fortune]. “An inflow of Wall Avenue and Silicon Valley donor help for Kamala Harris is translating into a definite marketing campaign benefit to the tune of practically $5 million a day, permitting her to go on offense in opposition to Republican Donald Trump. Because the presidential marketing campaign enters the costliest stretch, Harris and the Democratic Nationwide Committee are outspending Trump and the Republican Get together every day by a margin of three-to-one, in accordance with the newest federal filings. The Harris marketing campaign spent a median of $7.5 million a day in August, in comparison with a $2.6 million each day common for Trump… Harris has received over help from a deep bench of well-heeled donors, together with Oaktree Capital Administration LLC’s Bruce Karsh, legendary oil dealer Andy Corridor, Fb co-founder Dustin Moskovitz, know-how enterprise capitalist Matt Cohler and actress Scarlett Johansson.” • Put that along with the thousands-or-however-many nationwide safety goons and spooks endorsing Kamala, and a easy image emerges….

Kamala (D): Prying “preventing for” solely from their chilly, useless arms:

Donald Trump fights for billionaires and enormous companies.

I’m preventing for working and middle-class Individuals. pic.twitter.com/UGmgjAkySd

— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) September 24, 2024

Twice!

Kamala (D): “Harris marketing campaign plans journey to the US southern border amid polling considerations” [CNN]. “Vice President Kamala Harris is planning to go to the US-Mexico border whereas in Arizona on Friday, in accordance with a supply aware of the discussions, as Harris tries to shut the hole with former President Donald Trump on the problem of immigration. Particulars of the go to – which CNN first reported Monday that marketing campaign officers had been weighing – are nonetheless being sorted. Some Harris marketing campaign officers stay involved in regards to the hole in polling, which exhibits Trump holding a lead on the problem, but in addition see a chance to slim a niche they consider is closing and attempt to shut down GOP assaults over her not visiting the border sufficient, in accordance with one of many sources.” • Is Kamala going to go all honest once more? Why does the marketing campaign suppose this may assist?

* * *

Trump (R): “Trump listens throughout a farming occasion in rural Pennsylvania, then threatens John Deere with tariffs” [Associated Press]. “Trump listens.” What a headline. Susan Wiles should be ecstatic. ” Donald Trump sat in a big barn in rural Pennsylvania on Monday, asking questions of farmers and providing jokes however, in a rarity for his marketing campaign occasions, largely listening. The bombastic former president was unusually restrained at an occasion about China’s affect on the U.S. economic system, a roundtable throughout which farmers and producers expressed considerations about shedding their lifestyle. Behind Trump had been massive inexperienced tractors and an indication declaring ‘Shield our meals from China.’ The occasion in Smithton, Pennsylvania, gave Trump an opportunity to drive his financial message in opposition to Vice President Kamala Harris, arguing that imposing tariffs and boosting vitality manufacturing will decrease prices. He highlighted Harris’ reversal of a earlier vow to ban fracking, a way of manufacturing pure fuel key to Pennsylvania’s economic system. And he famous the tractors behind him had been manufactured by John Deere, which introduced in June it was shifting skid steer and monitor loader manufacturing to Mexico and dealing to accumulate land there for a brand new manufacturing facility. Trump threatened the agency with a 200% tariff ought to he win again the presidency and it opted to export manufacturing to Mexico. ‘In the event that they need to construct in the USA, there’s no tariff,’ he added.” • Labored in 2016. Why not do what labored?

Trump (R): A populist flip:

President @realDonaldTrump helps a mother of three pay for her groceries ❤️🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/33ifPk2cXI

— Margo Martin (@margommartin) September 23, 2024

I’ve heard second-hand however reliable sources say that Trump is actually personally beneficiant in circumstances like this. True, any aristocrat value their salt tax will throw a number of gold cash from the coach, however there are worse methods of being on this planet. Extra populism–

Trump (R): “Donald Trump Says He’s Going To Work ‘French Fry Job’ At McDonald’s” [Newsweek]. “Trump has mentioned that he doesn’t consider her, and repeated his claims at a rally in Pennsylvania on Monday. ‘For a very long time, [Harris has] been speaking about her expertise at McDonald’s. ‘I labored at McDonald’s, over the french fries, it was so sizzling,’ he mentioned. ‘I feel I’m gonna go to a McDonald’s subsequent week some place, it may not be right here in your home—I’m gonna go to a McDonald’s and I’m gonna work the french fry job for a couple of half an hour, I wanna see how it’s.’” • If Trump actually needs to win, right here, he ought to do the grill, not fries. From alert reader Brian Beijer:

Now, to [Kamala’s] ‘I did fries. After which I did the cashier.’ Not a type of staff revered the fries and cashier particular person. There was a begrudging respect for the drive via cashier as a result of they needed to put up with a lot grief…. However, nobody was actually revered till they competently dealt with the grill throughout a rush hour. You earned actual props after dealing with a bus or sudden soccer crew go to. I can completely perceive why Kamala didn’t put McDonald’s on her resume, however I don’t perceive why she’s reluctant to say her expertise there… until she was only a cashier/fry particular person. Then, she by no means actually bought the expertise of what working at McDonald’s actually provided.

Someone inform Susie Wiles!

Trump (R): “Swing state voters again Trump over Harris on key world questions: ballot” [Axios]. “Voters in six key swing states suppose former President Trump is extra doubtless than Vice President Harris to finish the wars in Ukraine and Gaza, reply successfully to a possible Chinese language assault on Taiwan, and advance U.S. pursuits internationally, in accordance with new polling from the Institute for World Affairs….. Voters nationwide narrowly see Harris (52% to 48%) as higher capable of strongly defend U.S. pursuits, in accordance with the ballot. However Trump leads 56% to 44% in that class amongst voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.” • After all, Biden set a really low baseline. Nonetheless.

* * *

AZ: “Trump Will get a Carry From Arizona Ticket-Splitters Backing a Democrat for Senate” []. “Former President Donald J. Trump seems to be benefiting from ticket-splitters in Arizona, in accordance with a New York Occasions/Siena Faculty ballot launched on Monday, a discovering that highlights his energy with Latino and youthful voters in addition to the distinctive weaknesses of the Republican nominee for Senate…. ‘Donald Trump creates his personal climate, and he has a coalition supporting him like no different Republican nominee in our lifetime — maybe ever — in Arizona,” mentioned Stan Barnes, a former Republican state lawmaker who’s now a political marketing consultant there. He pointed to the help Mr. Trump has garnered from younger individuals and voters of shade, who historically lean Democratic, in surveys this yr. “He’s breaking out of that rule, and it doesn’t translate down-ballot,’ he mentioned.” • The unique URL: trump-arizona-poll-latino-voters-gallego-lake.html. I suppose the Occasions editors didn’t like that half aboNew York Occasionsut Latinos in any respect.

NC: “GOP retreats from North Carolina after Mark Robinson allegations” [Axios]. “The Republican Governors’ Affiliation mentioned Monday that it has not made future advert buys in North Carolina, within the newest obvious blow to GOP Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson’s gubernatorial marketing campaign. The choice suggests Republicans are shedding hope of their social gathering’s probabilities of successful the governor’s race within the state, as Robinson was already slipping within the polls earlier than the explosive CNN report got here out.”

PA: “Trump calls Zelenskyy ‘the best salesman in historical past’” [Ukrainska Pravda]. Trump in PA: “I see Zelenskyy is right here. I feel Zelenskyy is the best salesman in historical past – each time he comes into the nation, he walks away with US$60 billion.” • Borscht Belt!

PA: “Pennsylvania Roundup: Shapiro welcomes Ukrainian President Zelenskyy to Scranton munitions plant” [Times-Leader]. “Throughout President Zelenskyy’s go to, Gov. Shapiro additionally signed an settlement with the Zaporizhzhia Regional State (Army) Administration — a province in Southeast Ukraine — that goals to leverage the strengths of each areas and help the area’s efforts to rebuild after the struggle whereas offering Pennsylvania companies a chance to take part within the reconstruction by means of its Division of Neighborhood & Financial Improvement (DCED). As a part of the settlement, Pennsylvania will work with the financial leaders in Zaporizhzhia to share greatest practices throughout important industries, together with vitality, agriculture, digital applied sciences, workforce improvement, and protection. The settlement encourages dialogue and cooperation by means of visits, workshops, and conferences, and permits for the growth of the scope of cooperation as wanted.” • Commentary:

How does this strike younger progressives? I am genuinely curious. pic.twitter.com/D4vJFZ4Nzk

— Walter Kirn (@walterkirn) September 23, 2024

PA: “Ukraine’s Zelenskyy visits Pennsylvania ammunition plant to thank staff and ask for extra” [Associated Press]. “Laryssa Salak, 60, whose dad and mom additionally immigrated from Ukraine, support she was happy Zelenskyy got here to thank the employees. She mentioned it upsets her that funding for Ukraine’s protection has divided Individuals and that even a few of her associates oppose the help, saying the cash ought to go to assist Individuals as an alternative. ‘However they don’t perceive that that cash doesn’t immediately go to Ukraine,’ Salak mentioned. ‘It goes to American factories that manufacture, like right here, just like the ammunition. So that cash goes to American staff as properly. And lots of people don’t perceive that.’” • Salak displaying a agency grasp of the mechanics of Empire.

PA: “Zelensky begins a US go to in PA – however was it only a political transfer?” [Tri-State Alert]. “Pat Ryan of NewsTalk 103.7FM identified, ‘He travels from Ukraine, and also you paid for the journey round right here. He’s out in Scranton with Shapiro, and Shapiro is at an ammo manufacturing facility doing autographs on the munitions right here. Zelensky is sticking his nostril into American politics. As a result of, fairly frankly, when Trump makes it again to the White Home, this entire gravy practice and this entire cash laundering scheme right here goes to return to a screeching finish, and Zelensky definitely couldn’t have that. I assumed it was fairly despicable to see Shapiro working round signing munitions right here. Not a superb search for this man.’ And: “Michele Jansen of NewsTalk 103.7FM famous: ‘This was a marketing campaign advert, and I assumed we had been anxious about overseas affect on our elections. That is one huge fats overseas affect on our election and it received’t be referred to as out that approach and naturally, they’re preventing for freedom and we’re having our cash laundered by means of this entire strategy of sending it to Ukraine… It’s your personal cash being laundered by means of the federal authorities, then Ukraine, after which coming again to you. .’” The Bearded One can be proud. Extra: “‘I imply, that is our cash getting used to return again for all these munitions and all of the rebuilding that’s going to occur in Ukraine, and but, silly Individuals are going to listen to this story about, oh, what nice jobs for Pennsylvania. That is such nonsense. .’”

PA: “Trump to rally subsequent month in Pennsylvania metropolis the place his first assassination try occurred” [NBC]. • Brass ones. And will clear up any turnout issues.

PA: “Scoop: Harris courts rural Trump voters in Pennsylvania” [Axios]. ” It’s an indication that the Harris marketing campaign shouldn’t be solely aiming to surge Democratic turnout in vote dense Philly and Pittsburgh but in addition making an attempt exhausting to blunt former President Trump’s margins in swing or purple counties throughout the commonwealth. The Harris marketing campaign is launching a 30-second advert on Tuesday that includes two two-time Trump voters who plan to vote for Harris…. The advert will run on 130 rural radio stations together with speak radio, basic rock, oldies, and nation radio — collectively reaching an estimated 500,000 doubtless voters exterior of Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and suburban counties… In Pennsylvania, 16 of the Harris marketing campaign’s 50 coordinated places of work are in predominantly rural counties that Trump carried in 2020 by double digits, a marketing campaign official advised Axios. The massive image: It comes as Pennsylvania Democrats urge Harris to frequent rural counties and be constant together with her messaging to win the hotly contested state that has an outsized function in deciding the White Home.” • Each county, each vote.

Clinton Legacy

Clinton’s to Biden: “No, the social gathering completely didn’t throw you below the bus”:

Clinton says Biden “has led this nation w/ unusual decency and beauty, & by no means allowed private tragedy to harden his coronary heart, solely rising deeper in his humanity..that braveness & compassion is what has allowed him to advance his oft-stated aim of restoring the soul of our nation” https://t.co/PsHtt3voao

— DJ Judd (@DJJudd) September 23, 2024

Realignment and Legitimacy

“The Energy of the Get together” [Ava Kelley, The Liberal Patriot]. “Although Republicans have an Electoral Faculty benefit in the present day, so-called “Institutional Democrats” have a special benefit: they’ve confirmed more proficient than Republicans of their group. That is evident in not less than three alternative ways for the Democrats: (1) their capability to neutralize third-party candidates, largely nullifying what some analysts final yr projected might be a serious drawback for Democrats in opposition to Trump; (2) their determination to affiliate themselves with abortion-related poll measures that favor their social gathering; and (3) their work to prove the vote by way of early and mail-in votes.” • However Trump “creates his personal climate.” This piece is properly value a learn, and I’m at all times blissful to see an institutional perspective. Price studying in full.

“The Fundamentals: Deference Politics” [Freddie deBoer]. “After I speak about deference politics, I’m referring to the tendency of left-leaning individuals to substitute interpersonal obsequiousness in the direction of “marginalized teams” for the precise materials change these teams demand.” Instance: The well-known images of Democrats kneeling in kente fabric after the homicide of George Floyd: “[T]he distinction between its failure and the theatrics that attended its announcement is deference politics in its important type: at a second of mass discontent over the state of race and policing, Black Individuals bought the absurd efficiency from Congressional leaders however not the substance of higher coverage. And that is core to the critique of deference politics; the purpose shouldn’t be that the nice intentions of the individuals who apply them are nugatory however that the individuals who apply deference politics by no means appear to acknowledge that the entire deferring by no means makes constructive motion extra doubtless. Like many nice political crimes, deference politics privileges the communicative and the emotional over the fabric and the precise.” • It’s fascinating to take a position that the institutional benefits of the Democrat social gathering (see above) are canceled out by the precise politics of its PMC base. Additionally value studying in full.

Syndemics

“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the deal with given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (wastewater); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep secure on the market!

Airborne Transmission

The market responds:

I used to be truly fairly happy to find the HEPA filters are within the “Wellness” part of {the electrical} retailer with enormous labels on them saying they cut back flu and COVID within the air.
That’s been a very long time within the pipeline.

— Dr Noor Bari (@NjbBari3) September 21, 2024

This account, nevertheless, is from Australia. Any native sightings?

Vaccines: Covid

“Is the Novavax COVID-19 Vaccine Higher?” [Time]. “Novavax makes use of a protein-based vaccine technique, which suggests individuals getting the vaccine obtain a protein made by the virus that their physique’s immune techniques then see as overseas and mount responses in opposition to. mRNA vaccines, against this, embrace snippets of mRNA genetic materials from the COVID-19 virus’ spike protein…. The protein is coupled with what vaccine makers name an adjuvant, or further compound that additional prompts the immune system to reinforce the physique’s response to the virus. ‘One main benefit of the adjuvant is that it really works not solely on the antibody aspect when it comes to the immune response, nevertheless it additionally prompts the T cells,’ says [Bob Walker, chief medical officer at Novavax]. ‘And T cells have many capabilities within the physique—one is to combat viruses, and the opposite is to assist antibody-producing cells to make extra antibodies.’”

Sequelae: Covid

Not a information story, not a political subject:

Somebody posted this query on Reddit yesterday:

“In any case these years, did any of you get any sort of everlasting injury from getting Covid? In that case, what’s it?”

There are over 1,200 feedback to date.

These are the actual tales of actual individuals.https://t.co/8GRvO17SQ4 pic.twitter.com/V3Qi8bDYdi

— Cat within the Hat 🐈‍⬛ 🎩 🇬🇧 (@_CatintheHat) September 23, 2024

“What Repeat COVID Infections Do to Your Physique, In keeping with Science” [Self]. “Lately, it’s tempting to check COVID-19 with the frequent chilly or flu. It will probably equally depart you with a nasty cough, fever, sore throat—the total works of respiratory signs. And it’s additionally develop into part of the societal cloth, maybe one thing you’ve resigned your self to catching not less than a number of instances in your life (even should you haven’t already)…. It seems, SARS-CoV-2 is extra nefarious than these different contagious bugs, and our immune response to it, usually bigger and longer-lasting. COVID has a greater capability to camouflage itself within the physique, “and it has the keys to the dominion within the sense that it could unlock any cell and get in,” says Esther Melamed, PhD, an assistant professor within the division of neurology at Dell Medical College, College of Texas Austin, and the analysis director of the Publish-COVID-19 program at UT Well being Austin. That’s as a result of SARS-CoV-2 binds to ACE2 receptors, which exist in cells throughout your physique, out of your coronary heart to your intestine to your mind. (Against this, chilly and flu viruses replicate largely in your respiratory tract.)” And: ‘A 2022 examine led by Dr. Al-Aly discovered that COVID reinfections additionally enhance your threat of problems throughout the board, no matter whether or not you recovered simply high quality previously or bought vaccinated. Particularly, it confirmed that reinfection raises the chance that you simply’ll want hospitalization; have coronary heart or lung issues; or expertise, amongst different doable points, GI, neurological, psychological well being, or musculoskeletal signs. ‘We use the time period ‘cumulative results,” Dr. Al-Aly says, ‘so, a number of hits accrue after which depart the physique extra susceptible to all of the potential long-term well being results of COVID.’” • Maybe an actual professional can evaluation this text, however I’m impressed, partly by Al-Aly getting quoted, and likewise by a hyperlink to a examine in Nature (!). It’s just a little beautiful to see a dense, well-researched article on Covid in a preferred journal like Self (placing mainstream sources just like the Atlantic or Vox to disgrace, to not point out our moribund public well being institution). Properly value a learn.

Sequelae: H5N1

“Avian flu outbreak devastates Michigan dairy” [Farm Progress]. “With a closed herd and all his heifers artificially inseminated — no exterior bulls wanted — Nathan Brearley was assured his 500-cow dairy farm in Portland, Mich., can be spared from the avian flu pressure that’s affecting dairies. He was unsuitable. Almost six months later after an an infection on his farm, milk manufacturing nonetheless hasn’t recovered. ‘I used to be fairly shocked. I by no means noticed another illness this widespread have an effect on the cattle prefer it did,’ Brearley mentioned throughout a current webinar on dairy avian flu, placed on by the Pennsylvania Middle for Dairy Excellence. With 29 confirmed circumstances — the newest being Sept. 9 — Michigan’s dairy trade has been one of many hardest hit by avian flu, H5N1, which was first confirmed in a Texas dairy in March…. Testing finally revealed that his cows did certainly contract H5N1. However how they contracted it, he mentioned, continues to be a thriller…. 5 % of the herd needed to be culled… Brearley mentioned an egg-laying facility a mile and a half away examined constructive for H5N1 and needed to depopulate thousands and thousands of birds. The birds had been composted in windrows exterior the ability, ‘and I may scent that course of.’ Whether or not the illness moved from that farm to his has not been confirmed, however a number of farms in his neighborhood additionally examined constructive for the illness, Brearley mentioned.” • Properly, that might indicate (a) transmission by egg facility staff, or (b) airborne (which, given the scent, appears a superb candidate).

Origins Debate

“Genetic tracing of market wildlife and viruses on the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic” [Cell]. “Zoonotic spillovers of viruses have occurred by means of the animal commerce worldwide. The beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic was traced epidemiologically to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market. Right here, we analyze environmental qPCR and sequencing information collected within the Huanan market in early 2020. We display that market-linked extreme acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) genetic variety is in step with market emergence and discover elevated SARS-CoV-2 positivity close to and inside a wildlife stall. We determine wildlife DNA in all SARS-CoV-2-positive samples from this stall, together with species similar to civets, bamboo rats, and raccoon canines, beforehand recognized as doable intermediate hosts. We additionally detect animal viruses that infect raccoon canines, civets, and bamboo rats.” • Graphical summary:

Elite Maleficence

Fixation on handwashing (and never airborne) thought-about as a psychological dysfunction:

Did a few of them truly get into the sector as a result of they’ve an precise situation that focuses on obsessive hygiene?

And that they are pushed in ways in which aren’t logical.

— tern (@1goodtern) September 23, 2024

TABLE 1: Day by day Covid Charts

Manufacturing: “United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The composite manufacturing index within the US Fifth District edged right down to -21 in September of 2024, from -19 in August, worse than forecasts of -17, indicating the steepest decline in manufacturing facility exercise since Could 2020.”

Provide Chain: “ILA contract negotiations: US provide chains brace for disruption” [Freight Waves]. “The ILA settlement impacts ports alongside your complete East Coast and Gulf Coast of the USA. These ports span from Maine all the way in which right down to Texas, together with main hubs similar to Boston, New York/New Jersey, Philadelphia, Baltimore, Charleston, Savannah, Miami, New Orleans, Houston and a number of other extra. The repercussions of such a strike can be important. The ILA represents 65,000 dockworkers at ports alongside the East Coast and Gulf Coast, liable for dealing with roughly 43% of U.S. imports. A disruption in operations at these ports would ripple by means of your complete provide chain, affecting companies throughout varied sectors. Retailers, producers and customers may all really feel the influence of delayed shipments, elevated prices and potential shortages of important items. A number of key points stay unresolved within the negotiations. The ILA is in search of wage will increase, improved advantages and job safety protections. Nonetheless, the first level of competition facilities on automation and its potential influence on dockworker jobs. The union is staunchly against any additional automation of port operations, fearing it may result in important job losses. However, the USMX argues that automation is important to extend effectivity and competitiveness within the face of rising world commerce. I’d additional argue that automation is required to maintain tempo with ports all over the world, together with improvements in ports such because the Netherlands, Germany, Singapore and Australia. The potential strike has raised alarms amongst provide chain consultants, who warn of a ‘catastrophic impact’ on U.S. commerce.”

“Boeing’s newest provide to hanging staff sparks union fury” [Financial Times]. “The corporate mentioned it was making a ‘greatest and last’ provide, which additionally contains higher retirement advantages than a deal that 33,000 union members rejected earlier this month. The producer has mentioned the provide is just good if union members vote in favour by Friday. However the Worldwide Affiliation of Machinists and Aerospace Staff District 751 forcefully dismissed the provide, saying Boeing had no authority to require a vote and that 4 days was too little time to arrange for one. ‘This provide was not negotiated,’ the union mentioned. ‘It was thrown at us with none dialogue . . . The corporate has refused to satisfy for additional dialogue; subsequently, we won’t be voting on [Friday].’” • So, no issues for Boeing elevating money?

Manufacturing: “Ortberg’s honeymoon with Boeing’s labor unions is over” [Leeham News and Analysis]. “The will of Kelly Ortberg, the brand new CEO of The Boeing Co., to reset labor relations with its largest union got here to a crashing halt yesterday…. Ninety-six % of the members concurrently voted to strike at midnight. They had been strolling the picket strains when Boeing issued its Finest and Ultimate Provide (BAFO) on Sept. 23. The provide sweetened the pot in some key areas…. However how the provide took place and was delivered incensed union members… In making ready and presenting the BAFO, Boeing ignored the IAM’s negotiating crew. Two days of talks below federal mediation failed. The IAM complained that Boeing refused to return to the negotiating desk. (On Sept. 13, the day after the unique contract was rejected and the strike started, firm CFO Brian West mentioned Boeing was anxious to renew negotiations.) Boeing launched particulars of the BAFO to the media earlier than presenting it to 751 President Jon Holden…. Ortberg got here below criticism from the union for the primary provide, however as he had been on the job just a few weeks, there was some room to present him some leeway. How Boeing dealt with the BAFO, nevertheless, wrecked any advantages of the doubt which will have existed.” • Presumably, then, that is why Ortberg was truly employed?

Manufacturing: “Analyst adjusts Boeing inventory value goal on strike influence” [The Street]. This caught my eye: “‘As a newcomer not liable for previous points, the brand new Boeing CEO has a brief window to construct belief and meet the expectations to set a brand new course, in order that stakeholders see him as an agent of change quite than one other a part of the group in search of to keep up the established order,’ mentioned Ashley Fulmer, assistant professor of managerial science at Georgia State College’s Robinson Faculty of Enterprise. Fulmer mentioned that rebuilding belief in Boeing is challenged by the emotional fallout from previous failures “as individuals usually expertise feelings similar to anger, concern and nervousness after belief violations.’” • No kidding, huh?

Manufacturing: “Hanging Machinists discover little to love in new Boeing provide, received’t vote on it” [Seattle Times]. “[L]ater Monday, the union expressed anger at Boeing making the provide on to its members by way of the media. The union management mentioned it can refuse to carry a vote on the provide this Friday to satisfy Boeing’s said deadline…[nternational Association of Machinists District 751 president Jon Holden…. added that the union realistically doesn’t have enough time to arrange a vote for Friday. ‘We couldn’t even get logistically a vote for 33,000 people across multiple states in that amount of time, and without the ability to even talk to our members about it in a meaningful way,’ he said.” • And is the union demanding that the expiration date of the new contract be May 1, 2028?

Manufacturing: “FAA says Boeing safety culture reforms may take years” [Reuters]. ” The top of the Federal Aviation Administration advised a U.S. Home subcommittee Tuesday that security tradition enhancements at Boeing (BA.N), opens new tab might take three to 5 years to finish.

‘It’s not a six-month program — it’s a three-year to five-year program,’ FAA Administrator Mike Whitaker mentioned, including he has spoken to Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg and the corporate’s board of administrators in regards to the want for security tradition reforms. He mentioned Boeing has made important enchancment within the quick time period. ‘On tradition it’s a long-term undertaking…. There’s progress however they don’t seem to be the place they have to be.’” • So Boeing administration’s first transfer is to beat the unions into the bottom. So superior. (Additionally, “spoken to the board.” Why aren’t the unions demanding board seats?)

At present’s Worry & Greed Index: 66 Greed (earlier shut: 64 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 55 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Sep 24 at 12:58:26 PM ET.

Rapture Index: Closes down one on Curiosity Charges. “The Federal Reserve lowers charges by .5%” [sic] [Rapture Ready]. Document Excessive, October 10, 2016: 189. Present: 180. (Keep in mind that bringing on the Rapture is nice.) • Exhausting to consider the Rapture Index goes down. Do these individuals know one thing we don’t?

Gallery

Not Courbet!

Guillotine Watch

“Contained in the island fortress of America’s mega-billionaires” [Business Insider]. “As my boat cruises towards the non-public island metropolis of Indian Creek Village — higher generally known as the Billionaire Bunker — I’m hoping my journey doesn’t finish in an arrest… As we get nearer to the shore, I begin to discover the cameras. Their beady eyes are in all places. Some are mounted on poles alongside the seawall. Others peek out from hedges. Many are linked to an not noticeable white field — an Israeli-designed radar system able to detecting passersby, in low visibility, from half a mile away. There isn’t a approach for an individual to set foot on Indian Creek with out the categorical permission of considered one of its 89 residents or a member of its extremely unique nation membership, which reportedly prices $500,000 to affix. As a result of the city’s authorities serves such an extremely rich subset of the inhabitants, issues like public parks and social applications are virtually nonexistent. As an alternative, the lion’s share of Indian Creek’s finances goes to its police division — which retains watch on the island’s sole entrance and patrols the perimeter 24/7. By means of federal funds, the city has additionally amassed a panoply of different safety measures that might make Bezos’ Ring cameras blush. ‘The wealthier you develop into, the extra you need good safety,’ says Setha Low, the director of the Public House Analysis Group, a middle on the Metropolis College of New York that focuses on the entry and management of every little thing from metropolis parks to gated communities.” • About these cameras… See on Diddy, instantly under.

Class Warfare

I’d entertain the speculation that at Diddy’s (billionaire) degree, participation in dense networks held collectively by blackmail and extortion is the rule, quite than the exception; criminogenic social capital can be the analytical software right here, I’d suppose.

Information of the Wired

Twitter is screwing up picture cropping once more, little question in a cynical try to generate clicks.

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