Home Stocks Dow Jones within the Highlight, Bonds Stabilize, Tech Performs Catch-Up | ChartWatchers

Dow Jones within the Highlight, Bonds Stabilize, Tech Performs Catch-Up | ChartWatchers

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Dow Jones within the Highlight, Bonds Stabilize, Tech Performs Catch-Up | ChartWatchers

KEY

TAKEAWAYS

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Common closed at a brand new all-time excessive.
  • Inventory market indexes nonetheless have bullish momentum despite up and down motion.
  • Bond costs might stabilize after digesting the rate of interest minimize.

The Federal Reserve’s rate of interest minimize determination on Wednesday was like receiving a present from a want checklist. When the speed minimize was introduced, the market initially rose, performing stunned by the choice. However the pleasure fizzled off because the market closed decrease on that day. The following day, patrons have been again, however Friday’s motion had extra promoting than shopping for. You need to minimize it some slack, although, given it was triple witching Friday—the expiration of inventory choices, index choices, and index futures. It is common to see elevated buying and selling exercise as merchants work on unloading positions or rolling them out to a future date.

Regardless of the inventory market’s up and down motion, the broader market indexes did not take an excessive amount of of a success. The S&P 500 ($SPX) and Nasdaq Composite ($COMPQ) closed only a hair decrease, whereas the Dow Jones Industrial Common ($INDU) closed barely greater, notching an all-time document shut.

Let’s unpack the charts of the broader indexes, beginning with the S&P 500.

S&P 500 Breaks Above Resistance

The big-cap S&P 500 index broke above the resistance of its barely downward-sloping trendline. The each day chart under reveals that market breadth in equities is enhancing. Observe that three market breadth indicators are displayed within the decrease panels under the value chart.

CHART 1. DAILY CHART OF THE S&P 500. The big-cap index nonetheless has momentum with market breadth indicators confirming bullish power.Chart supply: StockCharts.com. For academic functions.

The S&P 500 Bullish % Index ($BPSPX) is at 77, the NYSE Advance-Decline Line is rising, and the p.c of S&P 500 shares buying and selling above their 200-day shifting common is at 76.60. All three indicators affirm bullish momentum within the S&P 500.

The Nasdaq Composite

The Tech-heavy Nasdaq ($COMPQ) has additionally damaged above the resistance of its downtrend line, however, not like the S&P 500, it did not shut at a brand new all-time excessive this week. Its market breadth is not as robust as that of the S&P 500, as is seen available in the market breadth indicators within the decrease panels.

CHART 2. DAILY CHART OF NASDAQ COMPOSITE. The Nasdaq is buying and selling round its August excessive. If it breaks above that degree and market breadth continues to broaden, it might affirm a bullish transfer.Chart supply: StockCharts.com. For academic functions.

The BPI for the Nasdaq is at 54.85, which is barely bullish. The proportion of Nasdaq shares which can be buying and selling above their 200-day shifting common is at 44.23, whereas the Nasdaq Advance-Decline Line is rising. So total market breadth for the Nasdaq would not affirm an uptrend as strongly as one within the S&P 500.

The Nasdaq Composite is buying and selling near its August excessive. A break above this could affirm a bullish transfer, so it is value including this chart to your ChartLists.

The Dow Jones Industrial Common

The granddaddy of the indexes has been marching greater closing at a brand new all-time excessive (see chart under). After pulling again in early September, the Dow has taken the lead.

CHART 3. DAILY CHART OF DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE. The index closed at a document excessive and market breadth indicators level to robust bullish strain.Chart supply: StockCharts.com. For academic functions.

The DJIA BPI is above 80 and trending greater, the proportion of Dow shares buying and selling above their 200-day shifting common is comparatively flat, and the Dow Advance-Decline line continues to rise greater. All three breadth indicators affirm the Dow is bullish.

The takeaway: The three broad indexes are up for the month. There is a week and a day remaining this month. Will this September buck the seasonality pattern?

Bonds, Gold, Oil

Bond costs have fallen because the Fed’s determination, presumably as a result of the inventory market continues to be coming to grips with the information. The chart of the iShares 20+ Yr Treasury Bond (TLT) under reveals that TLT is near a help degree.

CHART 4. BOND PRICES FALL BUT COULD FIND STABILITY SOON. Watch bond costs on the nearest help degree.Chart supply: StockCharts.com. For academic functions.

If it stabilizes at this degree and turns greater, it might current a chance to allocate a portion of your portfolio to bonds.  

In the meantime, commodities are exhibiting upside worth motion. Gold costs proceed to rise, closing at an all-time excessive on Friday. Oil costs are off their lows, though they’re nonetheless in a downtrend. The Vitality Choose Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) is at its 200-day shifting common. Let’s have a look at if it breaks above it subsequent week. Vitality was the main sector for the week. And do not ignore Utilities; the sector was the main sector on Friday and may very well be poised for extra upside motion.

Within the Tech Entrance…

The week ended on fascinating information. Talks of a Qualcomm (QCOM) takeover of Intel (INTC) surfaced on Friday. Shares of INTC traded greater on the information. This might affect chip shares, which have had a tough journey of late. One other chip firm we’ll hear about subsequent week is Micron Know-how (MU), which studies earnings subsequent week. The rumor is that there could also be some unfavorable information. Micron has taken a beating since June, and technically, the chart seems ugly.

Finish of Week Wrap Up

  • S&P 500 closed up 1.36% for the week, at 5702.55, Dow Jones Industrial Common up 1.62% for the week at 31,063.36; Nasdaq Composite closed up 1.49% for the week at 17948.32
  • $VIX down 2.48% for the week closing at 16.15
  • Finest performing sector for the week: Vitality
  • Worst performing sector for the week: Actual Property
  • Prime 5 Massive Cap SCTR shares: Insmed Inc. (INSM); Carvana (CVNA); Applovin Corp (APP); Cava Group (CAVA); FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI)

On the Radar Subsequent Week

  • August New Dwelling Gross sales
  • Q2 GDP Development Charge
  • August Sturdy Items Orders
  • Speeches from Chairman Powell and different Fed officers
  • August Private Consumption Expenditure (PCE)
  • Micron (MU) Earnings

Disclaimer: This weblog is for academic functions solely and shouldn’t be construed as monetary recommendation. The concepts and techniques ought to by no means be used with out first assessing your personal private and monetary state of affairs, or with out consulting a monetary skilled.

Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan

In regards to the writer:
is Director of Web site Content material at StockCharts.com. She spends her time arising with content material methods, delivering content material to teach merchants and buyers, and discovering methods to make technical evaluation enjoyable. Jayanthi was Managing Editor at T3 Customized, a content material advertising company for monetary manufacturers. Previous to that, she was Managing Editor of Technical Evaluation of Shares & Commodities journal for 15+ years.
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