By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Fowl Track of the Day
Northern Mockingbird, Ensenachos, Sancti Spíritus, Cuba. “One singing in bushes out again of 3400 constructing.”
In Case You May Miss…
- Krugman hangs up his keyboard.
- UnitedHealthcare taking pictures: Particulars proceed to emerge.
- Inequity aversion solely in people?
Politics
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in actual fact a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
Biden Administration
“Biden is contemplating preemptive pardons for officers and allies earlier than Trump takes workplace” [Associated Press]. “President Joe Biden is weighing whether or not to challenge sweeping pardons for officers and allies who the White Home fears might be unjustly focused by President-elect Donald Trump’s administration, a preemptive transfer that will be a novel and dangerous use of the president’s extraordinary constitutional energy. The deliberations up to now are largely on the degree of White Home attorneys. However Biden himself has mentioned the subject with some senior aides, based on two individuals accustomed to the matter who spoke on situation of anonymity Thursday to debate the delicate topic…. Whereas the president’s pardon energy is absolute, Biden’s use on this trend would mark a big growth of how they’re deployed, and a few Biden aides concern it might lay the groundwork for an much more drastic utilization by Trump. Additionally they fear that issuing pardons would feed into claims by Trump and his allies that the people dedicated acts that necessitated immunity.”
Trump Transition
“Hegseth says he received’t withdraw as he struggles as Trump’s Protection decide” [Politico]. “Pete Hegseth spent this week making an attempt to woo senators — and others — as he fought to stay Donald Trump’s decide for secretary of Protection. He met with cautious and supportive lawmakers, his lawyer tried to shoot down misconduct allegations and even his mom went on Fox to defend her son…. However with out [Jodi] Ernst, who serves on the Armed Companies Committee and is a veteran and sexual assault survivor, together with different skeptical Republicans like Sens. Lisa Murkowski and Susan Collins, Hegseth’s affirmation seems in jeopardy.” And: “‘I’m a special man than I used to be years in the past, and that’s a redemption story that I believe lots of Individuals recognize, and I do know from fellow vets that I’ve hung out with, they resonate with that as nicely,’ Hegseth mentioned in response to the allegations. ‘You combat, you go do powerful issues in powerful locations on behalf of your nation, and generally that modifications you a bit bit.’” • Honey, I’ve modified!
“Trump aides say Pete Hegseth nonetheless has an opportunity to be confirmed as protection head” [Guardian]. “Trump himself has not expended any actual political capital by calling holdouts on Hegseth’s behalf, the Trump aides engaged on his nomination have, each with senators and inside Trumpworld to make sure he has the president-elect’s backing. Hegseth’s staff, which incorporates aides who’re near the vice-president-elect JD Vance and Trump’s eldest son Don Jr, symbolize a very highly effective group that has the power to achieve Republican senators and the Trump inside circle. The trickiest hurdle for Hegseth, the individuals mentioned, seems for now a minimum of to be convincing Republican senator Joni Ernst to again his nomination or making certain her resistance doesn’t embolden her shut colleagues within the Senate to vote towards him. Ernst, an Iowa Republican and fight veteran who has spoken about being sexually assaulted herself, had a closed-door assembly with Hegseth on Wednesday however didn’t supply her endorsement when she emerged, in addition to in an interview on Fox Information the next morning. For various our senators, they need to ensure that any allegations are cleared, and that’s why now we have to have a really thorough vetting course of,” Ernst informed Fox Information, agreeing with the host Invoice Hemmer that she had not reached a ‘sure’ on Hegseth. The continued resistance from Ernst sparked complaints from Trump’s staff at Mar-a-Lago, the place the transition operation is headquartered, that Ernst was content material to sink Hegseth’s nomination as a result of she was within the job herself.”
“Venture 2025 pressuring US Republican senators to substantiate Pete Hegseth as defence chief” [Associated Press]. “The think-tank behind Venture 2025, the conservative blueprint linked to US president-elect Donald Trump, is launching an effort to again Trump’s imperilled choice for secretary of defence in its newest try and wield affect within the incoming Republican administration. Heritage Basis President Kevin Roberts mentioned on Thursday that his group will spend US$1 million to stress senators unwilling to again Pete Hegseth, whose nomination to guide the Pentagon has come into query over his views on girls serving in fight and studies about his private behaviour.” • South China Morning Publish rips an AP story from the wire….
* * * “Trump Names David Sacks as White Home AI and Crypto Czar” [Bloomberg]. “Donald Trump says he’s choosing enterprise capitalist David Sacks of Craft Ventures LLC to function his synthetic intelligence and crypto czar, a newly created place that underscores the president-elect’s intent to spice up two quickly creating industries. ‘David will information coverage for the Administration in Synthetic Intelligence and Cryptocurrency, two areas important to the way forward for American competitiveness. David will concentrate on making America the clear world chief in each areas,’ Trump mentioned Thursday in a submit on his Reality Social community. Trump mentioned that Sacks would additionally lead the Presidential Council of Advisors for Science and Know-how.” • The USA is already a world chief in fraud, so what precisely is Sacks going to do this’s completely different?
“Trump names ICE chief and makes one other spherical of immigration bulletins” [Politico]. “Trump mentioned he was nominating Rodney Scott as commissioner of Customs and Border Safety. Scott served for nearly three a long time within the Border Patrol, and because the chief of the company over the last 12 months of the Trump administration and starting of the Biden administration. He helped implement Trump’s Stay in Mexico Coverage, Title 42 and Secure Third Nation agreements. Trump additionally introduced he was tapping Caleb Vitello, who’s at the moment the assistant director of the Workplace of Firearms and Tactical Applications in Immigration and Customs Enforcement, to function appearing director of ICE.”
2024 Publish Mortem
“5 Takeaways From the 2024 Elections Now That They’re Lastly Over” [Ed Kilgore, New York Magazine]. “[T]otal GOP management of the federal authorities most likely received’t final greater than two years, and there aren’t any explicit indicators of an electoral realignment down poll. Republican triumphalism and Democratic despair are equally unmerited from the attitude of the election itself.” And concluding: “So the sensible expectation going ahead is sustained partisan polarization and extremely contested elections, not some purple apocalypse.” The ever-level-headed Kilgore is all the time value a learn. This, nevertheless, caught my eye: ” The GOP positive factors amongst Democratic “base” constituencies (particularly Latinos and younger voters) that obtained a lot consideration this 12 months are most simply defined by short-term response to deeply detrimental financial perceptions relatively than some elementary alienation from the Democratic Get together that we will take with no consideration going ahead.” • I’m not so certain. I hold going again to that extraordinary map of counties exhibiting shifts to blue, or purple. And virtually your entire nation was purple. That universality argues to me that there’s one thing deeper occurring than “brief time period response,” and I’d speculate it’s a response to PMC governance as such. This codes as wokeness, after all, however the PMC is greater than our nationwide HR division. The additionally extraordinary outpouring of reactions to the Thompson taking pictures match into this hypothesis (which most likely received’t be leveraged by Republicans, and can’t be by Democrats (“I can’t minimize my throat two methods,” as Toby Esterhase remarks someplace in Tinker, Tailor)). However by any person?
Marketing campaign Finance
“Elon Musk donated greater than $250mn to Donald Trump’s marketing campaign, electoral filings present” [Financial Times]. “Elon Musk donated greater than $250mn to Donald Trump’s election marketing campaign, together with a minimum of $75mn within the closing weeks earlier than the vote, US electoral filings have revealed.” • In some unspecified time in the future, Musk’s gonna overlook that Trump is the President, not him…
Our Famously Free Press
“Paul Krugman retires as Occasions columnist” (press launch) [The New York Times Company]. “Paul is a crucial determine within the latest historical past of Occasions Opinion. Repeatedly, he took on the large fights, grappled with coverage deeply and severely, held the highly effective to account and spoke laborious truths — generally as a lonely voice arguing retro positions. He was a robust, clear, early opponent of the American invasion of Iraq and spent years shining a lightweight on the lies and penalties concerned with that warfare. He was a principled critic of George W. Bush’s management and plenty of of his coverage priorities and, with lucid prose, helped readers perceive the implications of the Bush tax cuts and his proposed privatization of Social Safety. And Paul was a lot powerful on Bush’s successor, too: Barack Obama hadn’t even taken workplace in 2009 when Paul memorably took aside the president-elect’s prescription for the Nice Recession: ‘The financial plan he’s providing isn’t as sturdy as his language concerning the financial menace,’ Paul wrote. “In actual fact, it falls nicely wanting what’s wanted.’” • After election 2000, Krugman was one of many only a few main figures, on both aspect of the aisle, prepared to name out Bush (Al Franken, amazingly, being the one different I can recall. The Democrats had been completely supine). I used to be residing in Philly on the time, and once I would go into Barnes and Noble, I’d be confronted with a stacks upon stacks and shelf after shelf of pro-Bush books; I carried out a small act of resistance by turning the seen books over to cover the covers. Krugman (and Franken) are the one voices from that point I bear in mind, and Krugman deserves credit score for that (irrespective of his subsequent evolution and the issues with mainstream economics typically).
“Putin’s Buddies Say Tucker Carlson Is Performing as a Secret Again-Channel to Trump” [The Daily Beast]. • And that is dangerous why? Who do we would like for the job? Vicky Nuland?
The Wizard of Kalorama™
“Obama calls political ‘divisiveness’ one of many ‘best challenges of our time’” [Politico]. “Former President Barack Obama referred to as out divisiveness and polarization as ‘one of many best challenges of our time,’ as he prevented any particular political references in his first public remarks for the reason that election….. ‘It’s about recognizing that in a democracy, energy comes from forging alliances and constructing coalitions… not just for the woke, but in addition for the waking,’ Obama informed the group of about 650 contributors on the Obama Basis occasion on Chicago’s South Facet, just some miles from the place Obama’s presidential heart is below building.” • I ponder how most of the 650 “contributors” had been from the neighborhood. Anyhow, so far as “divisiveness and polarization” and polarization, I’ve not forgotten or forgiven how, 2024 – 2008 = 16 years in the past, at Each day Kos, “You’re a racist” was actually the second transfer within the Obot script. Like calling any person a fascist, calling any person a racist is a bell you’ll be able to’t unring. They didn’t be taught a factor, did they?
Realignment and Legitimacy
Like baseball card assortment, however of oligarchs:
In addition to Donald Trump, Elon Musk and his fellow DOGE head Vivek Ramaswamy, a minimum of 11 billionaires will probably be serving key roles within the administration.
Whether or not it acts as a authorities for billionaires might take a look at and probably tarnish his populist legacy. https://t.co/29dm9mSJ3s pic.twitter.com/x4pm6Dc0Sn
— Axios (@axios) December 6, 2024
Combine ’em! Match ’em! Share ’em with your pals! There are, says UBS, about 2700 billionaires on this planet, and now we have 11 of them within the Trump administration, a not negligible absolute numbers. It’s fascinating to have oligarchs working straight in authorities, relatively just like the boss firing the managers and coming onto the store ground due to course they’ll do it higher. The press protection will naturally be sycophantic….
“A Bipartisan Slippage in Requirements” [Peggy Noonan, Wall Street Journal]. “It’s embarrassing as a citizen to see the president of america pardon his son, and in such an all-encompassing means, for any authorized transgression going again almost 11 years, which looks like a concession to the idea that his extra fascinating law-stretching or -breaking could also be but unknown. The president had promised ceaselessly and explicitly that he wouldn’t pardon his son, that he’d play it straight and let the course of justice play out. Which implies he knew it was essential to individuals, to how they considered him, and so he lied to reassure them. All this did what others have mentioned: lowered belief in political leaders, made the cynical extra cynical…. The pardon struck me as a bitter motion, too. A president who cared about public opinion, and even that of his personal occasion, wouldn’t have completed it, or fairly this manner. It’s the president flipping the hen to an ungrateful (and in addition relatively decadent!) nation that coldly turned on him after a single debate, after which elected that tramp Donald Trump—they deserve what they get… As to the Politico report that the White Home is contemplating pre-emptive pardons for officers not but even accused or convicted of breaking the regulation, wow. If that’s true it makes you surprise. What have our leaders been as much as the previous 4 years that they require such unprecedented forgiveness? Even with fears of a vengeful Trump Justice Division, pre-emptive pardons are an extreme transfer. Now to the incoming administration’s slippage of requirements, the unique cupboard picks that veer from ‘that’s a stretch’ to ‘that’s insane.’ The extra unique nominees—Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at Well being and Human Companies, Pete Hegseth at Protection, Kash Patel on the Federal Bureau of Investigation, Mehmet Oz at Medicare and Medicaid Companies—don’t have backgrounds that match the roles. Taken collectively they appear like individuals who need to blow issues up.” You say “blow issues up” like that’s a nasty factor. And at last: “Too most of the Trump nominees have mentioned, a method or one other, that they intend to take out the deep state, however they need to begin explaining precisely what they imply. The deep state isn’t actually a conservative perception, and it isn’t a brand new one.” • It’s an earworm, to not be defined.
Syndemics
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the deal with given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (wastewater); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
Origins Debate
“Wuhan lab samples maintain no shut family members to virus behind COVID” [Nature]. “After years of rumours that the virus that causes COVID-19 escaped from a laboratory in China, the virologist on the centre of the claims has introduced knowledge on dozens of latest coronaviruses collected from bats in southern China. At a convention in Japan this week, Shi Zhengli, a specialist on bat coronaviruses, reported that not one of the viruses saved in her freezers are the newest ancestors of the virus SARS-CoV-2. Shi was main coronavirus analysis on the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV), a high-level biosafety laboratory, when the primary circumstances of COVID-19 had been reported in that metropolis. Quickly afterwards, theories emerged that the virus had leaked — both accidentally or intentionally — from the WIV. Shi has persistently mentioned that SARS-CoV-2 was by no means seen or studied in her lab. However some commentators have continued to ask whether or not one of many many bat coronaviruses her staff collected in southern China over a long time was carefully associated to it. Shi promised to sequence the genomes of the coronaviruses and launch the information. The newest evaluation, which has not been peer reviewed, contains knowledge from the entire genomes of 56 new betacoronaviruses, the broad group to which SARS-CoV-2 belongs, in addition to some partial sequences. All of the viruses had been collected between 2004 and 2021.” • Massive if true. Appears a bit late.
TABLE 1: Each day Covid Charts
Lambert: Sadly, I can’t get CDC’s wastewater web page to load. Hopefully Monday.
Wastewater | |
This week[1] CDC November 25 | Final week[2] CDC (till subsequent week): |
|
|
★ Variants [3] CDC December 7 | ★Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC November 30 |
|
|
Hospitalization | |
★ New York[5] New York State, knowledge December 5: | ★ Nationwide [6] CDC December 5: |
|
|
Positivity | |
Nationwide[7] Walgreens December 2: | Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic November 23: |
|
|
Vacationers Information | |
★ Positivity[9] CDC November 19: | ★ Variants[10] CDC November 4: |
|
|
Deaths | |
★ Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11] CDC November 20: | ★ Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12] CDC November 20: |
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|
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new at present; all others usually are not up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (CDC) Excellent news!
[2] (CDC) Final week’s wastewater map.
[3] (CDC Variants) XEC takes over. That WHO label, “Ommicron,” has completed a terrific job normalizing successive waves of an infection.
[4] (ED) Down.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Leveled out.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). Truly improved; it’s now one of many few charts to point out your entire course of the pandemic to the current day.
[7] (Walgreens) Down.
[8] (Cleveland) Down.
[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Leveling out.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants). Positivity is new, however variants haven’t but been launched.
[11] Deaths low, positivity leveling out.
[12] Deaths low, ED leveling out.
Stats Watch
Employment State of affairs: “United States Unemployment Fee” [Trading Economics]. “The unemployment charge in america went as much as 4.2% in November of 2024 from 4.1% within the prior month, according to market expectations.”
Manufacturing: “FAA administrator says Boeing nonetheless not producing MAX planes after strike” [Reuters]. [FAA Administrator Mike Whitaker] mentioned Boeing’s plan is to slowly restart manufacturing later this month and he plans one other assembly in January as the corporate ramps up…. He declined to say when he thought the FAA would restore Boeing’s capacity to provide greater than 38 planes per 30 days, however mentioned he could be stunned if it was lower than a number of months earlier than they get near the 38 most…. Whitaker, who introduced one other audit of Boeing in October, has mentioned it might take 5 years for Boeing to reform its security tradition, however famous the planemaker has deployed a brand new components administration system and improved coaching, including, ‘What I noticed this week was actually what I anticipated to see.’ He needs Boeing to undertake an efficient Security Administration System, that are a set of insurance policies and procedures to proactively establish and deal with potential operational hazards. ‘We haven’t seen proof of it working the best way it’s alleged to work, the place your threat evaluation is driving your habits,’ Whitaker mentioned. The Nationwide Transportation Security Board has additionally mentioned Boeing’s SMS didn’t catch issues years earlier.” And: “Whitaker mentioned he has had some preliminary conversations with the Trump transition staff and plans extra, including it was too early within the dialog to say if he expects to stay within the job.” • Good little litmus take a look at.
Manufacturing: “Boeing pauses surveillance plan to trace workers on the workplace” [Seattle Times (PI)]. “Hours after The Seattle Occasions requested Boeing a couple of program to put in digital surveillance sensors in its Everett places of work, the corporate mentioned it has ‘paused our pilot program in any respect places and can hold workers up to date.’ Boeing started Monday putting in ‘office occupancy sensors’ in the principle Everett workplace towers that use movement detectors and cameras mounted in ceiling tiles above workstations, convention rooms and customary areas. The sensors are supposed to assemble info that’s then analyzed utilizing synthetic intelligence to feed knowledge to Boeing actual property and amenities managers about how many individuals are coming to the workplace and utilizing particular areas, and for a way lengthy. For individuals already involved about how their web and cellphone use will be tracked exterior work, this new type of office surveillance proved unwelcome, regardless of Boeing’s insistence that it doesn’t invade anybody’s private privateness. The plan was outlined to workers final week and one was creeped out sufficient on the prospect to share the PowerPoint presentation with The Seattle Occasions. ‘It scared me to my core,’ mentioned the worker, who declined to offer their identify. ‘What you’ll be able to see is, to say the least, evil.’ Whether or not from such reactions or from the press inquiry on Thursday, Boeing has backed off for now.’ And: “Boeing’s presentation gave workers fulsome assurances that the ‘sensors don’t seize any identifiable info.’” • In fact, after all. Is it probably that Ortberg is evem worse than Calhoun?
Tech: “Why is printer ink so costly?” [Digital Rights Bytes]. “Printer firms have a number of strategies to make it laborious for you, and for opponents, to exchange their costly first-party cartridges… Competitors: The printer firms have a really concentrated market—an oligopoly. After gobbling each other up, solely 5 main firms are left standing. Authorized: Printer firms depend on a mixture of “mental property” (IP) legal guidelines to dam third events from reverse engineering their printers …. Technical: Ink cartridges from the large firms usually now embrace microchips designed to cease you from utilizing third-party ink. It’s potential to make a program that lies to your printer in your behalf, so {that a} $5 third-party ink cartridge tells your printer, “Yup, I’m an HP ink cartridge.” However printer firms additionally exploit their gadgets’ always-on community connections to push “updates” to your printer that trigger them to reject third-party ink cartridges from firms which have braved the authorized dangers to give you cheaper ink.” And; “So why do printer firms cost a lot for ink? .”
At this time’s Worry & Greed Index: 54 Greed (earlier shut: 55 Impartial) [CNN]. One week in the past: 67 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Dec 6 at 1:41:43 PM ET.
Healthcare
Extra on the UnitedHealth taking pictures. I attempted to chop out as a lot duplication as potential:
“Hunt for the gunman who killed UnitedHealthcare’s CEO reveals new clues about actions in New York” [Associated Press]. “Investigators consider the suspect could have traveled to New York final month on a bus that originated in Atlanta, one of many regulation enforcement officers mentioned…. Investigators have realized the person lowered his masks on the entrance desk of the hostel as a result of he was flirting with the lady who checked him in, one of many regulation enforcement officers informed the AP, resulting in a photograph of his face. The lady informed investigators that in that encounter she requested to see his smile and he pulled down his masks [amateur], the official mentioned. Investigators consider the suspect used a pretend New Jersey identification card when he checked in on the hostel, the official mentioned.” • I wish to know what sort of masks; I’ve seen “ski masks” specified, however it’s laborious for me to think about checking in sporting a ski masks, even in a really tough hostel.
“Search continues for gunman who killed UnitedHealthcare CEO in New York” [WaPo]. “Police reiterated on Thursday that they consider the assault was premeditated, which raised questions on how and why the shooter was in a position to find Thompson — who was staying in a special resort — at that particular time and place. Whereas Wednesday’s investor convention had been introduced final month, the placement was not particularly included in that info.” Oh. Oligarchs settling their variations, then? However: “New York is teeming with surveillance cameras, and pictures from one obtained by The Washington Publish appeared to point out that a couple of half-hour earlier than the taking pictures, the person later recognized as an individual of curiosity exited the 57th Avenue station for the F Prepare and headed down Sixth Avenue towards the Hilton. Photographs launched by police additionally appeared to point out that particular person had used money to purchase one thing at a Starbucks earlier than the taking pictures.” And: “Investigators are ready for DNA take a look at outcomes on objects they suppose could have belonged to the shooter — a water bottle and a cellphone deserted close to the crime scene, based on the official.” So, newbie?
“Was Brian Thompson’s Killer a Hit Man? Unlikely, Consultants Say” [New York Times]. “[David Shapiro, a professor at John Jay College of Criminal Justice in New York, and a former F.B.I. special agent] added: ‘By way of an expert hit man, that appears unlikely. It could be very laborious to get any person to do one thing like this. It’s very excessive threat.’” And: “the shooter left a path of clues.” In addition to the Starbucks and the hostel: “After the taking pictures, the police discovered not solely the shell casings but in addition a cellphone that they’re inspecting. None of this seems to be just like the work of an expert, the consultants mentioned.” And: “‘I believe he deliberate this as meticulously as his talents enable,’ mentioned [Michael C. Farkas, a defense attorney who has worked as a New York City homicide prosecutor]. ‘And he’s most likely clever sufficient to know the chances of evading seize indefinitely usually are not in his favor,’ he mentioned. ‘He clearly needed to ship a message, and he’s attempting to get away.’” •
“Hit Males Aren’t What You Suppose” [Slate]. “The factor that struck me was the truth that he knew the place [Thompson] was going to be and when he was going to be there. Typically, you get that info by observing the person. You discover their schedule and their routine, and you then intercept them someplace alongside the road on their routine. This was clearly not a routine setting. So he needed to have some motive to consider that Thompson was going to be popping out of that door at an approximate time to have the ability to lay in wait. As a result of it’s Manhattan, standing round ready dangers the probability of being challenged by a cop or safety guard coming by, which means that he had motive to know when the man was going to be popping out. It suggests some kind of inside info.”
“On-line sleuths are racing to catch the UnitedHealthcare CEO’s killer” [WaPo]. “The early proof shared by police has largely been composed of pictures from New York’s huge infrastructure of surveillance cameras, a mixture of private and non-private recording gadgets that investigators routinely entry to establish and observe felony suspects all through town. In 2021, as a part of a crowdsourcing mission, volunteers with the human-rights group Amnesty Worldwide counted greater than 25,000 cameras on buildings, poles and streetlights throughout New York Metropolis. Stanford College researchers that 12 months estimated that New York’s digital camera density was almost 4 occasions increased than Los Angeles. The homicide scene’s location in one among Manhattan’s busiest districts most likely ensured the person was recorded from many angles, mentioned Ralph Cilento, a former commander of detectives with the New York police who retired in 2021 and now teaches police science at John Jay Faculty. ‘Midtown is just like the Iron Dome of cameras,’ Cilento mentioned, referencing the rocket-repelling air-defense system that blankets the Israeli skies. ‘You can’t get into Manhattan in any respect now with out being caught on digital camera.’ However discovering and gathering all that visible proof can require appreciable effort — and take extra time than some sleuths on social media are ready to present. ‘They are going to observe the man all through town,’ he mentioned, however “it’s terribly tedious work.’”
“The highlight is on medical health insurance firms. Sufferers are telling their tales of denied claims, chapter and delayed care” [Yahoo News]. “For a lot of, the price of life-saving care is just too excessive, and medical debt is the No. 1 explanation for chapter in America. That’s to say nothing of the emotional labor of navigating the advanced system. With Thompson’s killing and the Anthem coverage, there’s been widespread response with an identical by way of line: a pervasive contempt for the state of medical health insurance in america. Probably the most illustrative reactions, although are the private ones, the tales of denied claims, battles with insurance coverage brokers, delayed care, submitting for chapter and extra.” • Fascinating to see “emotional labor” sneak in there; I’d say it’s labor, initially.
“No proof for inequity aversion in non-human animals: a meta-analysis of settle for/reject paradigms” [Proceedings B]. The Summary: “Disadvantageous inequity aversion (IA), a detrimental response to receiving lower than others, is a key constructing block of the human sense of equity. Whereas some theorize that IA is shared by species throughout the animal kingdom, others argue that it’s an completely human evolutionary adaptation to the selective pressures of cooperation amongst non-kin. Important to this debate is the empirical query of whether or not non-human animals are averse in the direction of unequal useful resource distributions. Over the previous twenty years, researchers have reported that people from a variety of taxa exhibit IA; duties the place contributors can reject or settle for a given distribution of rewards delivered the majority of this proof. But these outcomes have been questioned on each conceptual and empirical grounds. Within the largest empirical investigation of non-human IA up to now, we synthesize the first knowledge from 23 research utilizing settle for/reject duties, overlaying 60 430 observations of 18 species. We discover no proof for IA in non-human animals in these duties. This discovering held throughout all species within the dataset and pre-registered subsets (all species reported to exhibit IA, primates reported to exhibit IA, chimpanzees and capuchin monkeys). Different interpretations of the information and implications for the evolution of equity are mentioned.” • Hmm. Individuals with pets, do you agree?
Contact info for vegetation: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a test if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me pictures of vegetation. Greens are high-quality! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you need your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it initially of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From SV:
SV writes: “Olive orchard close to Corning CA. The offramp Billboard reads: THE OLIVE PIT.”
Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not coated by the annual NC fundraiser. Materials right here is Lambert’s, and doesn’t categorical the views of the Bare Capitalism website. In the event you see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see anyplace else, please don’t hesitate to precise your appreciation in tangible type. Keep in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common optimistic suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. After I get no donations for 3 or 4 days I get anxious. Extra tangibly, a relentless trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I think about that trickle when setting fundraising targets:
Right here is the display that may seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
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